MLB matchup

09/19/20264:05 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore, MD78°F · Intermittent clouds

Brewers97 – 58vsOrioles75 – 80

Sharp side

✈️ Brewers -109

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	4.4	53.6%
Baltimore Orioles	4.1	46.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	B+	B+
Baltimore Orioles	B	B-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-109-1.5 (+150)

BAL-111+1.5 (-182)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-110-1.5 (+150)

BAL-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-113-1.5 (+150)

BAL-106+1.5 (-186)

Total 7.5Over -112Under -109

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-113-1.5 (+150)

BAL-105+1.5 (-179)

Total 7.5Over -113Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-107-1.5 (+153)

BAL-103+1.5 (-176)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-110-1.5 (+155)

BAL-110+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-108-1.5 (+150)

BAL-108+1.5 (-182)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -104

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-110-1.5 (+150)

BAL-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

MIL-110-1.5 (+150)

BAL-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–3–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	@ BAL	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8
9/17/26	@ PIT	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/16/26	@ PIT	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/15/26	@ PIT	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/13/26	vs CIN	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8
9/12/26	vs CIN	W 13–9	W -1.5	O 9
9/11/26	vs CIN	W 20–0	W -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	vs CHC	W 8–6	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/8/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	P 7
9/7/26	vs CHC	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Baltimore Orioles

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	vs MIL	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8
9/16/26	@ NYM	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/15/26	@ NYM	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/14/26	@ NYM	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/13/26	@ TOR	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7
9/12/26	@ TOR	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 8
9/11/26	@ TOR	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8
9/9/26	vs CLE	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	vs CLE	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/7/26	vs CLE	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Orioles
	Statistic
8.2 (8.6)	Hits	7.4 (7.7)
1.6 (1.7)	Doubles	1.4 (1.4)
0.9 (0.9)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.2)
12.7 (13.4)	Total Bases	12.5 (13.1)
4.0 (4.1)	Walks	3.6 (3.7)
8.5 (8.4)	Strikeouts	9.5 (9.4)
0.9 (1.0)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersRobert GasserConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-10551.2%Under-12154.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%

OriolesTrevor RogersConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over+10349.3%Under-13256.9%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJackson Chourio+81011.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
Total Hits1.5Over+18535.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
2Garrett MitchellCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGarrett Mitchell+16205.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45018.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50583.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
3William ContrerasDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWilliam Contreras+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35621.9%Under-54184.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-25671.9%Under+18934.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10551.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
4Andrew Vaughn1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndrew Vaughn+14006.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+15239.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12355.2%Under-11252.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33677.1%
5Joey Ortiz3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJoey Ortiz+18605.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21368.1%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12555.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
6Gary SanchezC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGary Sanchez+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11346.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
7Cooper PrattSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCooper Pratt+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14041.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33877.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38220.7%Under-58685.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26627.3%Under-38979.6%
8Luis LaraRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLuis Lara+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52416.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24571.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+73012.0%Under-130092.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
9David Hamilton2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDavid Hamilton+33002.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43081.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49583.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32623.5%Under-48983.0%

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Jeremiah Jackson2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJeremiah Jackson+11807.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40120.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17663.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27826.5%Under-40980.4%
2Pete Alonso1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Alonso+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-22669.3%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23069.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10651.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
3Coby MayoDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCoby Mayo+75011.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13342.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28674.1%
4Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Encarnacion-Strand+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
5Gunnar HendersonSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterGunnar Henderson+12807.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29774.8%
6Rece HindsRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterRece Hinds+14606.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11008.3%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38679.4%
7Christian FranklinLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterChristian Franklin+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31124.3%Under-46382.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51583.7%
8Samuel BasalloC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterSamuel Basallo+12207.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42781.0%
9Leody TaverasCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterLeody Taveras+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31823.9%Under-47582.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32276.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+78011.4%Under-140093.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%

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