MLB matchup

09/19/20266:10 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, OH70°F · Cloudy

Athletics61 – 95vsGuardians81 – 75

Sharp side

🏠 Guardians -188

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Athletics	3.3	37.0%
Cleveland Guardians	4.6	63.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Athletics	C-	C-	C-
Cleveland Guardians	D+	B	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+155+1.5 (-142)

CLE-188-1.5 (+118)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+154+1.5 (-140)

CLE-190-1.5 (+115)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+160+1.5 (-141)

CLE-195-1.5 (+117)

Total 7.5Over -120Under -103

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+153+1.5 (-141)

CLE-182-1.5 (+121)

Total 7.5Over -116Under -101

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+157+1.5 (-145)

CLE-170-1.5 (+125)

Total 8.0Over +105Under -125

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+155+1.5 (-140)

CLE-190-1.5 (+115)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+150+1.5 (-144)

CLE-178-1.5 (+120)

Total 7.5Over -118Under -104

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+150+1.5 (-140)

CLE-180-1.5 (+115)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

ATH+155+1.5 (-150)

CLE-185-1.5 (+125)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Athletics

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	@ CLE	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
9/17/26	@ TB	L 1–10	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/16/26	@ TB	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/15/26	@ TB	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 8
9/13/26	vs SEA	W 8–7	W +1.5	O 9
9/12/26	vs SEA	L 1–19	L +1.5	O 9.5
9/11/26	vs SEA	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 10.5
9/9/26	vs TOR	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs TOR	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 9
9/7/26	vs TOR	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U7–2–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	vs ATH	W 5–3	W -1.5	P 8
9/16/26	vs CHW	W 6–3	W -1.5	O 7
9/15/26	vs CHW	W 7–6	L -1.5	O 9
9/14/26	vs CHW	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 7
9/13/26	@ MIN	W 9–2	W +1.5	O 8
9/12/26	@ MIN	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	@ MIN	W 5–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/9/26	@ BAL	L 5–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ BAL	W 9–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ BAL	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Athletics and Guardians
	Statistic
7.4 (8.2)	Hits	8.2 (7.8)
1.4 (1.5)	Doubles	1.6 (1.6)
1.0 (1.2)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
11.8 (13.4)	Total Bases	13.3 (12.5)
3.0 (3.2)	Walks	3.6 (3.5)
8.6 (8.6)	Strikeouts	7.9 (8.0)
0.5 (0.5)	Stolen Bases	1.0 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AthleticsJacob LopezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+10449.0%Under-13256.9%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%

GuardiansTanner BibeeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-12755.9%Under+10050.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%

Starting lineups

AthleticsConfirmed

1Henry BolteCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHenry Bolte+10808.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43881.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+52915.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
2Jeff McNeil1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJeff McNeil+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36221.6%Under-55284.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
3Shea LangeliersDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterShea Langeliers+63013.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19966.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35578.0%
4Lawrence ButlerRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLawrence Butler+9209.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47817.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19065.5%
5Zack Gelof3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterZack Gelof+10009.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
6Donovan Walton2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDonovan Walton+17605.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44981.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22131.2%Under-31876.1%
7Carlos CortesLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarlos Cortes+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54215.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45081.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32676.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%
8Brian ServenC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterBrian Serven+15006.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59514.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48382.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
9Alika WilliamsSS
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterAlika Williams+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53015.9%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55984.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSteven Kwan+31003.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43218.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15339.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43181.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+71012.3%Under-126092.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
2Jose Ramirez3B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Ramirez+9709.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46282.2%
Total Hits1.5Over+19134.4%Under-26072.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13557.4%Under-10250.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34277.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
3Chase DeLauterDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterChase DeLauter+18405.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33323.1%Under-50183.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-25071.4%Under+18535.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10551.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
4Jo AdellRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJo Adell+9309.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-20367.0%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
5Angel MartinezLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterAngel Martinez+15206.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22569.2%Under+16737.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12455.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58014.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33777.1%
6David Fry1B
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterDavid Fry+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42681.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
7Travis Bazzana2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterTravis Bazzana+16005.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20967.6%
8Austin HedgesC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Hedges+22004.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54315.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24928.7%Under-36378.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17236.8%Under-24370.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrayan Rocchio+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44318.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33977.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20667.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%

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