MLB matchup

09/19/20266:40 PMGreat American Ball ParkCincinnati, OH89°F · Mostly sunny

Cubs86 – 69vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side

✈️ Cubs -148

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 9

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago Cubs	4.9	59.8%
Cincinnati Reds	4.0	40.2%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Chicago Cubs	A-	A-	A-
Cincinnati Reds	C	C+	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-148-1.5 (+113)

CIN+123+1.5 (-136)

Total 9.0Over -117Under -103

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-150-1.5 (+110)

CIN+125+1.5 (-135)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-141-1.5 (+114)

CIN+118+1.5 (-139)

Total 9.5Over +107Under -130

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-145-1.5 (+114)

CIN+124+1.5 (-134)

Total 9.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-138-1.5 (+112)

CIN+128+1.5 (-132)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-150-1.5 (+110)

CIN+125+1.5 (-135)

Total 9.0Over -120Under +100

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-146-1.5 (+110)

CIN+124+1.5 (-132)

Total 9.5Over +104Under -128

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-145-1.5 (+110)

CIN+120+1.5 (-135)

Total 9.5Over +105Under -125

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

CHC-140-1.5 (+115)

CIN+120+1.5 (-135)

Total 9.5Over +110Under -130

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago Cubs

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–2–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	@ CIN	L 4–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/16/26	vs ATL	W 8–4	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/15/26	vs ATL	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/14/26	vs ATL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 9.5
9/13/26	vs PIT	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/12/26	vs PIT	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/11/26	vs PIT	W 12–2	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ MIL	L 6–8	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/8/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	P 7
9/7/26	@ MIL	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cincinnati Reds

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–4–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	vs CHC	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/17/26	vs LAD	L 2–8	L +1.5	P 10
9/16/26	vs LAD	W 6–2	W +1.5	P 8
9/15/26	vs LAD	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 8.5
9/14/26	vs LAD	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/13/26	@ MIL	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/12/26	@ MIL	L 9–13	L +1.5	O 9
9/11/26	@ MIL	L 0–20	L +1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ LAD	L 1–14	L +1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ LAD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Cubs and Reds
	Statistic
8.3 (8.5)	Hits	7.5 (7.6)
1.6 (1.6)	Doubles	1.3 (1.4)
1.3 (1.4)	Home Runs	1.3 (1.3)
14.3 (14.8)	Total Bases	12.8 (13.1)
4.0 (4.1)	Walks	3.4 (3.5)
8.5 (8.4)	Strikeouts	9.5 (9.5)
0.7 (0.7)	Stolen Bases	0.7 (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

CubsMatthew BoydConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11653.7%Under-11052.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%

RedsNick LodoloConfirmed

Player props4 markets

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+11546.5%Under-14659.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10249.5%

Starting lineups

Chicago CubsConfirmed

1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterPete Crow-Armstrong+54615.5%
Total Bases1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41719.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+19034.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs2.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-14859.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
2Alex Bregman3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlex Bregman+90010.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+32823.4%Under-49383.1%
Total Hits1.5Over+19234.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11954.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
3Seiya SuzukiDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterSeiya Suzuki+80011.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36821.4%Under-56384.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10751.7%Under-13056.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
4Tyrone TaylorLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterTyrone Taylor+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19265.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13958.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56715.0%Under-94090.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41280.5%
5Nico Hoerner2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterNico Hoerner+25003.8%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55084.6%
Total Hits1.5Over+18235.5%Under-24771.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-17864.0%Under+12843.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51383.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
6Michael Busch1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMichael Busch+11008.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50516.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
7Carson KellyC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterCarson Kelly+12607.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14659.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21468.2%
8Matt ShawRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt Shaw+15606.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45718.0%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28774.2%
9Dansby SwansonSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterDansby Swanson+14006.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51916.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%

Cincinnati RedsConfirmed

1Dane MyersCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDane Myers+14806.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40519.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12154.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25228.4%Under-36678.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29374.6%
2Elly De La CruzSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterElly De La Cruz+86010.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22268.9%Under+16537.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40120.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
3Sal Stewart1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39320.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-23269.9%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16462.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
4Tyler StephensonC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTyler Stephenson+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39520.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23970.5%
5Eugenio SuarezDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterEugenio Suarez+13207.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18934.6%Under-26872.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18765.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23970.5%
6Juan BritoRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJuan Brito+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49816.7%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38379.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29425.4%Under-43581.3%
7JJ BledayLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJJ Bleday+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20567.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
8Matt McLain2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMatt McLain+19404.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51016.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-154093.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29474.6%
9Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKe'Bryan Hayes+26003.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53684.3%

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