MLB matchup

09/19/20267:05 PMGlobe Life FieldArlington, TX

Blue Jays76 – 79vsRangers78 – 77

Sharp side

✈️ Blue Jays -106

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Blue Jays	4.5	51.9%
Texas Rangers	4.3	48.1%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	C	C+
Texas Rangers	C	C-	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-106-1.5 (+153)

TEX-114+1.5 (-186)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-105-1.5 (+155)

TEX-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-110-1.5 (+150)

TEX-108+1.5 (-182)

Total 7.5Over -125Under +102

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-105-1.5 (+157)

TEX-112+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -103

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-102-1.5 (+160)

TEX-108+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.0Over +105Under -125

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-105-1.5 (+160)

TEX-115+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-102-1.5 (+162)

TEX-116+1.5 (-196)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-105-1.5 (+160)

TEX-115+1.5 (-195)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

TOR-108-1.5 (+150)

TEX-104+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	@ TEX	L 1–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/16/26	vs DET	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/15/26	vs DET	L 1–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/14/26	vs DET	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs BAL	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7
9/12/26	vs BAL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs BAL	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/9/26	@ ATH	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	@ ATH	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas Rangers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	vs TOR	W 7–1	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/17/26	vs BOS	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 8
9/16/26	vs BOS	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 8
9/15/26	vs BOS	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 7.5
9/13/26	@ ARI	W 7–6	W +1.5	O 8
9/12/26	@ ARI	W 6–2	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	@ ARI	L 1–9	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/10/26	@ SEA	L 3–4	L -1.5	P 7
9/9/26	@ SEA	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8
9/8/26	@ SEA	W 10–5	W +1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Blue Jays and Rangers
	Statistic
8.7 (8.5)	Hits	8.1 (8.0)
1.7 (1.6)	Doubles	1.5 (1.4)
1.1 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.1)
13.9 (13.4)	Total Bases	13.3 (13.0)
2.9 (2.9)	Walks	3.2 (3.2)
7.1 (7.1)	Strikeouts	8.6 (8.6)
0.5 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Blue JaysJose SorianoConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-16061.5%Under+12544.4%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+13243.1%Under-17663.8%

RangersCal QuantrillConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over+13243.1%Under-16962.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19666.2%

Starting lineups

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Brett BatemanCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterBrett Bateman+23004.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59385.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-25671.9%Under+18934.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11746.1%Under-16261.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11546.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28674.1%
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVladimir Guerrero Jr.+85010.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36921.3%Under-56484.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+19334.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
3Alejandro KirkC
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAlejandro Kirk+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39820.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-25872.1%Under+19034.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14759.5%Under+10648.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
4George SpringerDH
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Springer+10608.6%
Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55884.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-23169.8%Under+17136.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-18064.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+58014.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
5Nathan LukesRF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Lukes+15806.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45018.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31676.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
6Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterKazuma Okamoto+76011.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
7Josh Smith2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Smith+15206.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51916.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15660.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+84010.6%Under-154093.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33376.9%
8Andres GimenezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Gimenez+18205.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15961.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37679.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46782.4%
9Myles StrawLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterMyles Straw+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49516.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45381.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29174.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%

Texas RangersConfirmed

1Ezequiel DuranSS
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterEzequiel Duran+15206.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14940.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39420.2%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17063.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10851.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22730.6%Under-32776.6%
2Corey SeagerDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCorey Seager+81011.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41019.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23470.1%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12355.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
3Josh Jung3B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJosh Jung+15006.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18865.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-23770.3%Under+17536.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
4Brandon NimmoRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBrandon Nimmo+11408.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44118.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21568.3%Under+16038.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17763.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11854.1%Under-11753.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
5Wyatt LangfordLF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterWyatt Langford+13606.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21731.5%Under-31275.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
6Jake Burger1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJake Burger+11807.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20532.8%Under-29474.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
7Nicky Lopez2B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNicky Lopez+39002.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34022.7%Under-51483.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
8Danny JansenC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterDanny Jansen+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55315.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
9Evan CarterCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterEvan Carter+18605.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58414.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42881.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26872.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%

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