MLB matchup

09/19/20267:15 PMBusch StadiumSt. Louis, MO92°F · Intermittent clouds

Nationals73 – 82vsCardinals75 – 80

Sharp side

🏠 Cardinals -115

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 8.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Washington Nationals	4.4	46.3%
St. Louis Cardinals	4.8	53.7%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Washington Nationals	C	C-	C
St. Louis Cardinals	C	C	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-104-1.5 (+155)

STL-115+1.5 (-189)

Total 8.5Over -124Under +103

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+150)

STL-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.5Over -118Under -102

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-103-1.5 (+155)

STL-117+1.5 (-195)

Total 8.5Over -130Under +107

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+157)

STL-113+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -101

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-105-1.5 (+155)

STL-105+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+145)

STL-110+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-108-1.5 (+146)

STL-108+1.5 (-176)

Total 8.5Over -120Under -102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-110-1.5 (+150)

STL-110+1.5 (-185)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

WSH-105-1.5 (+160)

STL-115+1.5 (-190)

Total 8.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

Washington Nationals

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	@ STL	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8
9/16/26	vs PHI	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 9
9/15/26	vs PHI	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8
9/13/26	vs LAA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 9.5
9/12/26	vs LAA	W 6–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs LAA	W 4–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/9/26	@ SD	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/8/26	@ SD	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/7/26	@ SD	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/6/26	@ LAD	L 5–7	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

St. Louis Cardinals

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	vs WSH	L 1–9	L +1.5	O 8
9/16/26	vs SF	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/15/26	vs SF	L 3–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/14/26	vs SF	W 2–1	L -1.5	U 8
9/13/26	vs CHW	W 3–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/12/26	vs CHW	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/11/26	vs CHW	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/9/26	@ SF	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/8/26	@ SF	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/7/26	@ SF	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Nationals and Cardinals
	Statistic
7.9 (8.4)	Hits	8.4 (8.2)
1.6 (1.7)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
1.2 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.0)
13.5 (14.5)	Total Bases	13.4 (12.9)
3.2 (3.4)	Walks	3.3 (3.2)
8.5 (8.5)	Strikeouts	8.0 (8.0)
1.0 (1.1)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

NationalsAndrew AlvarezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12045.5%Under-15360.5%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+15239.7%Under-20567.2%

CardinalsMichael McGreevyConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over-12355.2%Under-10451.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%

Starting lineups

Washington NationalsConfirmed

1James WoodRF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterJames Wood+66013.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55784.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15360.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
2Daylen LileLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDaylen Lile+9509.5%
Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-25371.7%Under+18635.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15660.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30775.4%
3Abimelec OrtizDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAbimelec Ortiz+9509.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19766.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32976.7%
4CJ Abrams2B
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCJ Abrams+81011.0%
Total Bases1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15861.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35222.1%Under-53484.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-23269.9%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22869.5%
5Dylan CrewsCF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterDylan Crews+11208.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40819.7%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-21267.9%Under+15838.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12943.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12555.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50416.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27127.0%Under-39879.9%
6Jorbit Vivas3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJorbit Vivas+18405.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41119.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22168.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13357.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27873.5%
7Andres Chaparro1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAndres Chaparro+10608.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47617.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
8Keibert RuizC
Player props7 markets
First Home Run HitterKeibert Ruiz+14806.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35878.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
9Nasim NunezSS
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterNasim Nunez+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49416.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44881.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25271.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49416.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29125.6%Under-43181.2%

St. Louis CardinalsConfirmed

1Jose Fermin3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Fermin+15006.3%
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37021.3%Under-56585.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-23470.1%Under+17336.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20333.0%Under-28974.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
2Ivan HerreraDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterIvan Herrera+12607.4%
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35122.2%Under-53284.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18435.2%Under-26172.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-11252.8%Under-12455.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12655.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11453.3%Under-12154.8%
3Jordan WalkerRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Walker+10009.1%
Total Bases1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33722.9%Under-50883.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-25972.1%Under+19134.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16862.7%
4Leo Bernal1B
5Thomas Saggese2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterThomas Saggese+16405.7%
Total Bases1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55084.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15139.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
6Masyn WinnSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterMasyn Winn+21004.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19265.8%Under+14341.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20066.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
7Nathan ChurchCF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNathan Church+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-19766.3%Under+14740.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26327.5%Under-38579.4%
8Pedro PagesC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterPedro Pages+23004.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58614.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11553.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15360.5%Under+11546.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36578.5%
9Victor Scott IILF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterVictor Scott II+29003.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44481.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+59214.5%Under-99090.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24129.3%Under-35077.8%

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial