MLB matchup

09/19/20268:10 PMChase FieldPhoenix, AZ

Yankees89 – 65vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side

✈️ Yankees -164

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
New York Yankees	4.4	62.4%
Arizona Diamondbacks	3.2	37.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
New York Yankees	B	A+	A-
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	C+	B-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-164-1.5 (+108)

ARI+136+1.5 (-130)

Total 7.5Over +102Under -122

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-160-1.5 (+105)

ARI+135+1.5 (-125)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-180-1.5 (+100)

ARI+148+1.5 (-121)

Total 7.5Over +102Under -124

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-162-1.5 (+108)

ARI+137+1.5 (-125)

Total 7.5Over +104Under -122

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-154-1.5 (+110)

ARI+143+1.5 (-130)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-165-1.5 (+110)

ARI+135+1.5 (-135)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-158-1.5 (+112)

ARI+134+1.5 (-134)

Total 7.5Over +102Under -124

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-165-1.5 (+105)

ARI+135+1.5 (-125)

Total 7.5Over +100Under -120

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-165-1.5 (+110)

ARI+140+1.5 (-130)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -125

Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Yankees

Overall8–2–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	@ ARI	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/16/26	@ MIN	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/15/26	@ MIN	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/14/26	@ MIN	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/13/26	vs NYM	W 2–0	W -1.5	U 8
9/12/26	vs NYM	L 2–12	L -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs NYM	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 8
9/10/26	vs COL	W 10–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	vs COL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 9.5
9/8/26	vs COL	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/18/26	vs NYY	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/16/26	vs MIA	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 9
9/15/26	vs MIA	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/14/26	vs MIA	W 8–7	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/13/26	vs TEX	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/12/26	vs TEX	L 2–6	L -1.5	U 8.5
9/11/26	vs TEX	W 9–1	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/9/26	@ KC	L 2–5	L -1.5	U 9
9/8/26	@ KC	W 5–3	W -1.5	U 9
9/7/26	@ KC	W 5–4	L -1.5	U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Yankees and Diamondbacks
	Statistic
7.7 (7.8)	Hits	7.2 (8.2)
1.4 (1.4)	Doubles	1.4 (1.7)
1.3 (1.4)	Home Runs	0.8 (1.0)
13.3 (13.6)	Total Bases	11.3 (13.3)
3.6 (3.6)	Walks	3.0 (3.3)
9.3 (9.2)	Strikeouts	7.7 (7.5)
0.9 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.6 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

YankeesCam SchlittlerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+12045.5%Under-15961.4%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over+10149.8%Under-12956.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13256.9%Under-10150.2%

DiamondbacksBrandon PfaadtConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12544.4%Under-15961.4%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%

Starting lineups

New York YankeesConfirmed

1Ben RiceDH
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterBen Rice+68012.8%
Total Bases1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+29625.3%Under-43981.4%
Total Hits1.5Over+18335.3%Under-24871.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10651.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
2Cody BellingerLF
Player props10 markets
First Home Run HitterCody Bellinger+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44781.7%
Total Hits1.5Over+19334.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13557.4%Under-10250.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-158094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34477.5%
3Luis Garcia Jr.1B
4Heliot RamosRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterHeliot Ramos+10208.9%
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25428.2%Under-36978.7%
5George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGeorge Lombard Jr.+17405.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21267.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33677.1%
6Austin WellsC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterAustin Wells+11408.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45218.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23030.3%Under-33276.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
7Anthony Volpe2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterAnthony Volpe+16405.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37920.9%Under-58285.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34477.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+49216.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
8Ryan McMahon3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterRyan McMahon+13007.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52815.9%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35678.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18164.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
9Jose CaballeroCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJose Caballero+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49516.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40580.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21368.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+39920.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36878.6%

Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed

1Lars NootbaarLF
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterLars Nootbaar+11208.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50416.6%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31424.2%Under-46982.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14740.5%Under-20567.2%
2Ketel Marte2B
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterKetel Marte+9909.2%
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46517.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12655.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27573.3%
3Gabriel MorenoC
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGabriel Moreno+16605.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15360.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
4Geraldo PerdomoSS
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterGeraldo Perdomo+25003.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42581.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15040.0%Under-21067.7%
5Corbin CarrollRF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterCorbin Carroll+10009.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11147.4%Under-14859.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17136.9%Under-24170.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
6Nolan Arenado3B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterNolan Arenado+19005.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56415.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27526.7%Under-40480.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35022.2%Under-53184.2%
7Tim Tawa1B
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterTim Tawa+19804.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58614.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34377.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33223.1%Under-50083.3%
8Jesus SanchezDH
Player props8 markets
First Home Run HitterJesus Sanchez+15406.1%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59314.4%Under-99090.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31224.3%Under-46682.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33423.0%Under-50383.4%
9Jordan LawlarCF
Player props9 markets
First Home Run HitterJordan Lawlar+24004.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+38320.7%Under-58985.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22930.4%Under-33176.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15139.8%Under-21167.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36121.7%Under-55184.6%

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