Royals67 – 88vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side

Model value

Sharp total

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
Kansas City Royals	C	B-	C
Pittsburgh Pirates	C+	B-	C+

Sportsbook context

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

KC-118-1.5 (+144)

PIT-102+1.5 (-175)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Overall0–3–0W–L–TRun line0–3–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/19/26	@ PIT	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 8
9/18/26	@ PIT	L 5–8	L +1.5	O 8.5
9/17/26	@ HOU	L 2–6	L +1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall3–0–0W–L–TRun line3–0–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/19/26	vs KC	W 6–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/18/26	vs KC	W 8–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/17/26	vs MIL	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Royals and Pirates
	Statistic
8.0 (8.3)	Hits	8.3 (8.7)

Starting pitcher context

RoyalsMichael WachaProbable

PiratesLake BacharProbable

Player availability

Kansas City Royals

SPAlec MarshShoulder60-Day-IL
The Royals placed Marsh (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.
Updated: May 8, 2026 at 7:02 AM EDT
RPBeck WayShoulder15-Day-IL
Way (back/shoulder) has been shut down for the remainder of the season, per MLB.com.
Updated: Sep 2, 2026 at 11:14 AM EDT
RPCarlos EstevezShoulder60-Day-IL
Estevez will undergo season-ending surgery on his right shoulder next week, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
Updated: Sep 1, 2026 at 6:01 PM EDT

Pittsburgh Pirates

SPBraxton AshcraftArm15-Day-IL
Ashcraft (arm) played catch Friday but is not expected to return this season, Kevin Gorman of TribLive.com reports.
Updated: Sep 18, 2026 at 4:46 PM EDT
CEndy RodriguezHip60-Day-IL
The Pirates transferred Rodriguez (hip) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
Updated: Sep 1, 2026 at 1:58 PM EDT
RFEsmerlyn ValdezHamstring10-Day-IL
Valdez (hamstring) isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Cubs.
Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 1:21 PM EDT

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.