MLB matchup
09/20/20262:10 PMDaikin ParkHouston, TX

Braves91 – 64vsAstros77 – 78

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Atlanta BravesB+B-B
Houston AstrosBA-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun line
ATL+118+1.5 (-177)
HOU-142-1.5 (+146)
Total 8.0Over -114Under -105
Recent form

Last 3 games

Atlanta Braves

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–0–1O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/19/26@ HOUW 6–3W +1.5O 8.5
9/18/26@ HOUW 6–2W -1.5P 8
9/16/26@ CHCL 4–8L +1.5O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Astros

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–1–1O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/19/26vs ATLL 3–6L -1.5O 8.5
9/18/26vs ATLL 2–6L +1.5P 8
9/17/26vs KCW 6–2W -1.5U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Braves and Astros
Statistic
7.5 (8.4)Hits8.0 (8.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BravesMartin PerezProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
AstrosHunter BrownProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16462.1%Under+12444.6%

Expected Starters

Atlanta BravesProjected
  1. 1Drake BaldwinDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
  2. 2Ronald Acuna Jr.RF
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
  3. 3Matt Olson1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39620.2%Under-61085.9%
  4. 4Michael Harris IICF
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
  5. 5Mauricio DubonSS
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58914.5%Under-99090.8%
  6. 6Ozzie Albies2B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42619.0%Under-67087.0%
  7. 7Mike YastrzemskiLF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52416.0%Under-85089.5%
  8. 8Austin Riley3B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-106091.4%
  9. 9Sean MurphyC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Houston AstrosProjected
  1. 1Jeremy PenaSS
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
  2. 2Yordan AlvarezDH
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
  3. 3Isaac Paredes3B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44018.5%Under-69087.3%
  4. 4Jose Altuve2B
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
  5. 5Yainer DiazC
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
  6. 6Christian Walker1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
  7. 7Taylor TrammellRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55415.3%Under-91090.1%
  8. 8Cam SmithRF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56415.1%Under-93090.3%
  9. 9LaMonte Wade Jr.LF
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%

Player availability

Injury report

Atlanta Braves
  • SPBryce ElderKnee15-Day-IL
    Atlanta placed Elder on the 15-day injured list Wednesday due to arthroscopic right knee surgery.
    Updated: Sep 9, 2026 at 11:38 AM EDT
  • RPJoe JimenezKnee60-Day-IL
    Jimenez (knee) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Gwinnett on Tuesday.
    Updated: Sep 15, 2026 at 10:39 AM EDT
  • RPJoey WentzKnee60-Day-IL
    Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
    Updated: May 8, 2026 at 7:02 AM EDT
Houston Astros
  • SPBrandon WalterElbow60-Day-IL
    The Astros announced Friday that Walter (elbow) is in the midst of a throwing progression at the team's complex in West Palm Beach, Fla., Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Jun 4, 2026 at 11:03 AM EDT
  • SSCarlos CorreaAnkle60-Day-IL
    Medical imaging on Correa's surgically repaired left ankle revealed inflammation Thursday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Sep 17, 2026 at 5:11 PM EDT
  • RPEnyel De Los SantosKnee15-Day-IL
    De Los Santos secured the save Thursday against the Tigers, allowing one run on two hits and no walks in the ninth inning. He did not record a strikeout.
    Updated: Sep 19, 2026 at 7:01 PM EDT

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