MLB matchup

09/20/20264:10 PMChase FieldPhoenix, AZ

Yankees89 – 65vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Starter	Overall
New York Yankees	B	A-	B+
Arizona Diamondbacks	B-	A-	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun line

NYY-114-1.5 (+148)

ARI-106+1.5 (-180)

Total 8.5Over -105Under -114

Recent form

Last 3 games

New York Yankees

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun line1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/19/26	@ ARI	L 3–5	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/18/26	@ ARI	W 9–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/16/26	@ MIN	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun line1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run line	Total
9/19/26	vs NYY	W 5–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/18/26	vs NYY	L 2–9	L +1.5	O 7.5
9/16/26	vs MIA	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 9

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Yankees and Diamondbacks
	Statistic
7.1 (7.9)	Hits	7.7 (8.2)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

YankeesWill WarrenProbable

Player props1 of 5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%

DiamondbacksCorbin BurnesProbable

Player props1 of 5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%

Expected Starters

New York YankeesProjected

1Ben RiceDH
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
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2Cody BellingerLF
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
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3Heliot RamosRF
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
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4George Lombard Jr.SS
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59885.7%
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5Austin WellsC
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39720.1%Under-62086.1%
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6Anthony Volpe2B
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40619.8%Under-63086.3%
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7Ryan McMahon3B
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
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8Jose CaballeroCF
Player props1 of 6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48617.1%Under-78088.6%
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Arizona DiamondbacksProjected

1Lars NootbaarLF
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39820.1%Under-62086.1%
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2Ketel Marte2B
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16862.7%
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3Gabriel MorenoC
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
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4Geraldo PerdomoSS
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
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5Corbin CarrollRF
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
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6Pavin Smith1B
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
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7Nolan Arenado3B
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
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8Tim Tawa1B
Player props1 of 6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53215.8%Under-87089.7%
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9Jesus SanchezDH
Player props1 of 6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45718.0%Under-73088.0%
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Player availability

Injury report

New York Yankees

RFAaron JudgeCalf10-Day-IL
Judge said Saturday that he didn't know the grade of his calf strain, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports. "I gotta talk to the trainers and figure that out," Judge said.
Updated: Sep 19, 2026 at 8:47 PM EDT
RPFernando CruzElbow15-Day-IL
Cruz (elbow) expects to resume a throwing program by the end of this week, Meredith Marakovits of YES Network reports.
Updated: Sep 8, 2026 at 3:49 PM EDT
DHGiancarlo StantonCalf60-Day-IL
The Yankees transferred Stanton (calf) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
Updated: Aug 25, 2026 at 2:38 PM EDT

Arizona Diamondbacks

RPA.J. PukElbow60-Day-IL
Manager Torey Lovullo said Friday that Puk (elbow/shoulder) will remain shut down for the remainder of the season, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.
Updated: Aug 7, 2026 at 6:46 PM EDT
RPAndrew SaalfrankShoulder60-Day-IL
Saalfrank (shoulder) has begun a throwing program, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
Updated: Jul 18, 2026 at 8:24 AM EDT
RPCristian MenaShoulder60-Day-IL
Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters Monday that Mena underwent surgery on his right shoulder and will be sidelined for the rest of the season, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
Updated: Jun 1, 2026 at 6:44 PM EDT

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