MLB matchup

09/23/20261:35 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore, MD61°F · Cloudy

Blue Jays79 – 83vsOrioles79 – 82

Sharp side

✈️ Blue Jays +109

Model value

Model trendBaltimore Orioles games: +0.69 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Baltimore Orioles went 15–14 (51.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.69 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 7

Model value

Model trendToronto Blue Jays games: +2.67 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Toronto Blue Jays are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.67 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Blue Jays	3.8	48.0%
Baltimore Orioles	4.0	52.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Toronto Blue Jays	C+	B	B-
Baltimore Orioles	B	B-	B

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles preview: Contact meets power in a tight marketBaltimore is a modest home favorite, but Toronto’s projected contact edge and the teams’ similar records make this a closely balanced matchup at Camden Yards.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+109+1.5 (-205)

BAL-131-1.5 (+168)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+105+1.5 (-210)

BAL-125-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+102+1.5 (-210)

BAL-122-1.5 (+165)

Total 7.5Over +105Under -129

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+107+1.5 (-204)

BAL-125-1.5 (+172)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+110+1.5 (-210)

BAL-120-1.5 (+180)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+105+1.5 (-205)

BAL-125-1.5 (+165)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+106+1.5 (-210)

BAL-124-1.5 (+172)

Total 7.5Over +112Under -138

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+105+1.5 (-200)

BAL-125-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over +115Under -140

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TOR+110+1.5 (-215)

BAL-130-1.5 (+170)

Total 7.5Over +120Under -145

Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/21/26	@ BAL	L 3–4	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/20/26	@ TEX	W 7–2	W +1.5	O 7
9/19/26	@ TEX	L 2–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/18/26	@ TEX	L 1–7	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/16/26	vs DET	W 5–1	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/15/26	vs DET	L 1–10	L -1.5	O 8
9/14/26	vs DET	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 7.5
9/13/26	vs BAL	W 8–1	W -1.5	O 7
9/12/26	vs BAL	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 8
9/11/26	vs BAL	L 4–7	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Baltimore Orioles

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/21/26	vs TOR	W 4–3	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/20/26	vs MIL	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 7.5
9/19/26	vs MIL	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 7.5
9/18/26	vs MIL	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 8
9/16/26	@ NYM	W 7–1	W -1.5	U 9
9/15/26	@ NYM	W 7–5	W +1.5	O 8
9/14/26	@ NYM	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 8.5
9/13/26	@ TOR	L 1–8	L +1.5	O 7
9/12/26	@ TOR	L 3–7	L +1.5	O 8
9/11/26	@ TOR	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Blue Jays and Orioles
	Statistic
8.2 (8.5)	Hits	7.4 (7.7)
1.6 (1.6)	Doubles	1.4 (1.4)
0.9 (1.0)	Home Runs	1.1 (1.2)
12.6 (13.4)	Total Bases	12.4 (13.1)
2.8 (2.9)	Walks	3.6 (3.6)
7.2 (7.1)	Strikeouts	9.4 (9.4)
0.4 (0.4)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

Blue JaysMax ScherzerConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-12455.4%Under-10350.7%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%

OriolesChris BassittConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%

Total Outs Recorded16.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+11346.9%Under-14459.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17363.4%

Starting lineups

Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed

1Nathan LukesRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19065.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41419.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23870.4%Under+17636.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41580.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11147.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42480.9%
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
3Kazuma Okamoto3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22430.9%Under-32376.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21668.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28974.3%
4George SpringerDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41019.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11753.9%Under-11854.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
5Josh SmithLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29325.4%Under-43581.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
6Andres GimenezSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50616.5%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10451.0%Under-13256.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45618.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51983.8%
7Brandon ValenzuelaC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58114.7%Under-97090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38779.5%
8Myles StrawCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35422.0%Under-53784.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+37820.9%Under-57985.3%
9Ernie Clement2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11252.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38320.7%Under-58985.5%

Baltimore OriolesConfirmed

1Dylan BeaversLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37679.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14341.2%Under-20066.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18264.5%
2Pete Alonso1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-18164.4%Under+13642.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12744.1%Under-17763.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
3Gunnar HendersonSS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59585.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
4Coby MayoDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51016.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15239.7%Under-21468.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15439.4%Under-21568.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26672.7%
5Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21431.8%Under-30675.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17964.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29225.5%Under-43281.2%
6Colton CowserCF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53315.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11546.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42380.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
7Jeremiah Jackson2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14459.0%Under+10848.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44081.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28774.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17263.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48282.8%
8Leody TaverasRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49916.7%Under-81089.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10449.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13442.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27626.6%Under-40680.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+54015.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
9Carlos NarvaezC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+71012.3%Under-124092.5%
Total Hits0.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57085.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25128.5%Under-36678.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+36521.5%Under-55784.8%

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