CFB matchup
09/26/20269:00 PMGerald J. Ford StadiumDallas, TX

Missouri State1 – 2vsSMU2 – 1

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Missouri State BearsC-CC
SMU MustangsA-B+B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
MOST+34.5 (-110)
SMU-34.5 (-110)
Total 59.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Missouri State Bears

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/19/26vs MRSHL 24–30L +4O 52.5
9/12/26vs LINW 48–14W -16.5O 53.5
9/5/26@ TA&ML 0–50L +38.5U 53.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

SMU Mustangs

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–1–1W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/19/26@ LOUL 31–41L +3O 57.5
9/12/26vs UCDW 56–10W -32.5O 59.5
9/7/26@ FSUW 27–24P -3U 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Missouri State and SMU
Statistic
262.4 (402.2)Total Yards493.8 (440.4)



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