MLB matchup
09/29/202610:00 PMPetco ParkSan Diego, CA73°F · Mostly clear

Cubs89 – 73vsPadres91 – 71

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupPitchingOverall
Chicago CubsA-BB+
San Diego PadresBBB
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun Line
CHC+105+1.5 (-205)
SD-126-1.5 (+168)
Total 7.0Over -117Under -103
Recent form

Last 3 games

Chicago Cubs

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
9/27/26vs BOSW 6–2W -1.5O 7.5
9/25/26@ BOSL 0–2L -1.5U 6.5
9/25/26@ BOSL 3–4L -1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

San Diego Padres

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
9/27/26vs ARIW 9–4W +1.5O 8
9/26/26vs ARIW 10–7W -1.5O 8
9/25/26vs ARIL 4–11L +1.5O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Cubs and Padres
Statistic
N/A (8.5)HitsN/A (8.1)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

CubsStarter unavailableAwaiting pitcher
PadresMichael KingProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11252.8%

Expected Starters

Chicago CubsProjected
  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
  2. 2Alex BregmanDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-76088.4%
  3. 3Seiya SuzukiRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
  4. 4Michael Busch1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42519.0%Under-67087.0%
  5. 5Ian HappLF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53915.6%Under-88089.8%
  6. 6Michael ConfortoRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54215.6%Under-89089.9%
  7. 7Nico Hoerner2B
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
  8. 8Dansby SwansonSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
  9. 9Carson KellyC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53715.7%Under-88089.8%
San Diego PadresProjected
  1. 1Dustin HarrisRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49916.7%Under-81089.0%
  2. 2Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
  3. 3Manny Machado3B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-75088.2%
  4. 4Ty France1B
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
  5. 5Gavin SheetsDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59914.3%Under-100090.9%
  6. 6Jackson MerrillCF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
  7. 7Jake Cronenworth2B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
  8. 8Xander BogaertsSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
  9. 9Luis CampusanoC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54015.6%Under-89089.9%

Player availability

Injury report

Chicago Cubs
  • RPBen BrownNeck60-Day-IL
    Brown (neck) has been ruled out for the remainder of the season, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
    Updated: Sep 3, 2026 at 4:37 PM EDT
  • SPCade HortonElbow60-Day-IL
    The Cubs transferred Horton (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday, Andy Martinez of Marquee Sports Network reports.
    Updated: May 8, 2026 at 7:02 AM EDT
  • RPHunter HarveyTriceps60-Day-IL
    Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Wednesday that Harvey's (triceps/shoulder) rehab hasn't come along as hoped, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.
    Updated: Aug 19, 2026 at 1:16 PM EDT
San Diego Padres
  • RPBryan HoeingElbow60-Day-IL
    The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
    Updated: May 8, 2026 at 7:02 AM EDT
  • SPCasey MizeAnkle15-Day-IL
    Mize (6-10) allowed seven runs on seven hits, two walks and a hit batsman while striking out one over four innings to take the loss versus the Diamondbacks on Friday.
    Updated: Sep 26, 2026 at 5:47 PM EDT
  • RPJeremiah EstradaShoulder15-Day-IL
    Estrada (shoulder) hadn't resumed throwing as of Sept. 8, and he may not be able to return from the injured list before the end of the campaign, MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 4:06 PM EDT

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