MLB matchup

09/30/20262:00 PMTruist ParkAtlanta, GA82°F · Mostly sunny

Phillies88 – 74vsBraves94 – 68

Sharp side

✈️ Phillies -117

Model value

Model trendPhiladelphia Phillies games: +4.57 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Philadelphia Phillies went 7–1 (87.5%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.57 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↓ Under 7

Model value

Model trendAtlanta Braves games: +6.49 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Atlanta Braves went 23–14 (62.2%) this season, for an estimated profit of 6.49 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Philadelphia Phillies	4.0	59.4%
Atlanta Braves	3.0	40.6%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Philadelphia Phillies	A-	A	A
Atlanta Braves	A-	B-	B

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of the stadium interior in Atlanta

Phillies vs. Braves Game 2 Preview: Starting Pitching Meets Bullpen PressurePhiladelphia has a path to extending the series if Cristopher Sánchez can limit the bullpen’s workload, but Atlanta’s lineup has already shown how quickly a close game can turn.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-117-1.5 (+149)

ATL-103+1.5 (-181)

Total 7.0Over -116Under -104

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-118-1.5 (+150)

ATL-102+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-107-1.5 (+155)

ATL-112+1.5 (-195)

Total 7.0Over -114Under -107

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-115-1.5 (+153)

ATL-102+1.5 (-182)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-112-1.5 (+155)

ATL+102+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-120-1.5 (+145)

ATL+100+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-118-1.5 (+146)

ATL+100+1.5 (-176)

Total 7.5Over +114Under -138

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-120-1.5 (+150)

ATL+100+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -135

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

PHI-107-1.5 (+150)

ATL+101+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over +115Under -135

Recent form

Last 10 games

Philadelphia Phillies

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun Line3–7–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/29/26	@ ATL	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 6.5
9/27/26	vs TB	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
9/26/26	vs TB	L 1–12	L -1.5	O 6.5
9/25/26	vs TB	L 0–2	L -1.5	U 6.5
9/24/26	vs MIL	L 1–5	L -1.5	U 7.5
9/23/26	vs MIL	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 7
9/22/26	vs MIL	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7
9/20/26	@ NYM	W 7–2	W -1.5	O 7.5
9/19/26	@ NYM	L 3–10	L +1.5	O 8
9/18/26	@ NYM	L 3–6	L +1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Atlanta Braves

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–4–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/29/26	vs PHI	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
9/27/26	@ MIA	L 3–5	L +1.5	P 8
9/26/26	@ MIA	W 8–3	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/25/26	@ MIA	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/24/26	vs CIN	L 6–7	L -1.5	O 8
9/23/26	vs CIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7
9/22/26	vs CIN	L 0–4	L -1.5	U 9.5
9/20/26	@ HOU	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 8
9/19/26	@ HOU	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/18/26	@ HOU	W 6–2	W -1.5	P 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Phillies and Braves
	Statistic
7.6 (8.0)	Hits	7.0 (8.3)
1.4 (1.5)	Doubles	1.2 (1.5)
1.0 (1.1)	Home Runs	0.9 (1.3)
12.4 (13.1)	Total Bases	11.1 (13.8)
3.2 (3.3)	Walks	2.5 (2.9)
8.2 (8.2)	Strikeouts	8.3 (8.1)
0.6 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.5)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PhilliesCristopher SanchezConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%

Total Hits Allowed5.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over+11247.2%Under-14358.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%

BravesTyler MahleConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over+12344.8%Under-15861.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%

Starting lineups

Philadelphia PhilliesConfirmed

1Trea TurnerSS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+33123.2%Under-49983.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-25972.1%Under+19134.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26027.8%Under-38079.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-122092.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
2Kyle SchwarberDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47417.4%Under-76088.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15938.6%Under-22369.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
3Bryce HarperRF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40319.9%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-20467.1%Under+15239.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10848.1%Under-14959.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12145.2%Under-16762.5%
4Alec Bohm1B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36221.6%Under-55284.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-23269.9%Under+17236.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18535.1%Under-26272.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20867.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10751.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
5Bryson Stott2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41619.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13143.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34677.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23870.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+67013.0%Under-116092.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
6Brandon MarshLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55115.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20732.6%Under-29674.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18464.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+32223.7%Under-48382.8%
7Edmundo Sosa3B
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52016.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14759.5%
8Justin CrawfordCF
Player props6 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53115.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34422.5%Under-52083.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22830.5%Under-32876.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
9J.T. RealmutoC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44218.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17363.4%Under+13043.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28925.7%Under-42781.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17463.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32376.4%

Atlanta BravesConfirmed

1Ronald Acuna Jr.RF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13642.4%Under-18264.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37321.1%Under-57185.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34477.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11954.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+45318.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
2Drake BaldwinDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45018.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24628.9%Under-35778.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21768.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14158.5%Under+10249.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25428.2%Under-36978.7%
3Ozzie Albies2B
Player props7 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36621.5%Under-55884.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16437.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12255.0%Under-11353.1%
4Matt Olson1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40020.0%Under-62086.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19365.9%Under+14441.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22469.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28426.0%Under-41980.7%
5Mauricio DubonLF
Player props7 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-19165.6%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59785.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-24671.1%Under+18135.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38179.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15160.2%Under+10947.8%
6Austin Riley3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-15961.4%Under+11945.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39679.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15660.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
7Michael Harris IICF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45118.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18635.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
8Sean MurphyC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54115.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46882.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19365.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
9Ha-Seong KimSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58614.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13757.8%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+37820.9%Under-57985.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24728.8%Under-35978.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+79011.2%Under-144093.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45682.0%

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