MLB matchup

09/30/20265:00 PMDaikin ParkHouston, TX

White Sox84 – 78vsAstros81 – 81

Sharp side

🏠 Astros -155

Model value

Sharp total

↑ Over 7.5

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Chicago White Sox	3.0	35.0%
Houston Astros	4.5	65.0%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Chicago White Sox	C	C	C
Houston Astros	B+	A-	B+

Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Oil painting of Daikin Park on baseball game day

White Sox vs. Astros Game 2 Preview: Can Chicago Finish the Job?Chicago carries a 1-0 series lead and better recent form into Game 2, but Houston counters with Hunter Brown and stronger projected hitting output.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+128+1.5 (-174)

HOU-155-1.5 (+143)

Total 7.5Over -114Under -106

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+125+1.5 (-175)

HOU-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+128+1.5 (-175)

HOU-152-1.5 (+138)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+128+1.5 (-175)

HOU-150-1.5 (+148)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -108

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+133+1.5 (-165)

HOU-143-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+130+1.5 (-180)

HOU-155-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+128+1.5 (-176)

HOU-152-1.5 (+146)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+125+1.5 (-175)

HOU-150-1.5 (+145)

Total 7.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CHW+130+1.5 (-180)

HOU-150-1.5 (+150)

Total 7.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 10 games

Chicago White Sox

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/29/26	@ HOU	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/27/26	vs COL	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/26/26	vs COL	L 6–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/25/26	vs COL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 8
9/24/26	@ KC	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/23/26	@ KC	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/22/26	@ KC	W 14–11	W -1.5	O 8
9/20/26	vs DET	W 8–1	W +1.5	O 8
9/19/26	vs DET	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 8
9/18/26	vs DET	L 8–11	L -1.5	O 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Astros

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–2–2O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
9/29/26	vs CHW	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/27/26	@ ATH	W 9–0	W -1.5	U 10.5
9/26/26	@ ATH	W 13–2	W -1.5	O 10
9/25/26	@ ATH	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 9.5
9/24/26	@ ATH	W 7–5	W -1.5	O 11
9/23/26	@ SEA	L 5–6	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/22/26	@ SEA	W 7–0	W +1.5	P 7
9/20/26	vs ATL	L 2–4	L -1.5	U 8
9/19/26	vs ATL	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 8.5
9/18/26	vs ATL	L 2–6	L +1.5	P 8

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for White Sox and Astros
	Statistic
6.5 (7.9)	Hits	8.1 (8.1)
1.2 (1.5)	Doubles	1.5 (1.5)
0.9 (1.3)	Home Runs	1.4 (1.4)
10.8 (13.6)	Total Bases	14.0 (14.0)
3.2 (3.6)	Walks	3.3 (3.3)
9.3 (9.2)	Strikeouts	8.3 (8.3)
0.5 (0.6)	Stolen Bases	0.3 (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

White SoxSean BurkeConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-16462.1%Under+12344.8%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-13858.0%Under+10449.0%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-13657.6%Under+10748.3%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%

AstrosHunter BrownConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11753.9%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%

Total Outs Recorded15.5Over+10050.0%Under-13357.1%

Total Strikeouts6.5Over-10751.7%Under-11954.3%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%

Starting lineups

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Sam AntonacciLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33822.8%Under-51083.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12455.4%Under-11152.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+36021.7%Under-54884.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
2Kyle TeelC
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49116.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+90010.0%Under-170094.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12856.1%
3Miguel Vargas3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19065.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+44218.5%Under-70087.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11954.3%
4Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55215.3%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18865.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25471.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
5Andrew BenintendiDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47917.3%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
6Tristan PetersCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13243.1%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27426.7%Under-40380.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10648.5%Under-14759.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+70012.5%Under-124092.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
7Chase Meidroth2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+53615.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41480.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12655.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+83010.8%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14940.2%Under-20967.6%
8Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56215.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26427.5%Under-38779.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19034.5%Under-27073.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10808.5%Under-220095.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
9Colson MontgomerySS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-114091.9%
Total Hits0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13457.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24971.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16338.0%Under-22969.6%

Houston AstrosConfirmed

1Jeremy PenaSS
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44318.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-28774.2%Under+21032.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20832.5%Under-29874.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10149.8%Under-13958.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+50316.6%Under-81089.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
2Yordan AlvarezLF
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+35821.8%Under-54584.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-24470.9%Under+18035.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10651.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14459.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10349.3%
3Isaac ParedesDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43618.7%Under-69087.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-17864.0%Under+13442.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25772.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-19065.5%
4Jose Altuve2B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+15040.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46717.6%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-19966.6%Under+14940.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11353.1%Under-12255.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+87010.3%Under-162094.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
5Yainer DiazC
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42319.1%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22969.6%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11653.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18135.6%Under-25671.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42180.8%
6Christian Walker1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51916.2%Under-84089.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14459.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19633.8%Under-27973.6%
7Lucas SpenceCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52516.0%Under-86089.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-12956.3%Under-10350.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25471.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18665.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+72012.2%Under-128092.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
8Cam SmithRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58614.6%Under-98090.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25728.0%Under-37578.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31776.0%
9Nick Allen3B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-104091.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10250.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16261.8%Under+12245.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32323.6%Under-48482.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30025.0%Under-44581.7%

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