CFB matchup
10/03/202612:00 PMDavis Wade StadiumStarkville, MS

Alabama4 – 0vsMississippi State4 – 0

Sharp side
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Model value
Sharp total
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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Alabama Crimson TideAA+A
Mississippi State BulldogsAB-B+
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Oil painting of Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville during a packed Mississippi State football game at sunsetAlabama vs. Mississippi State Preview: Can the Bulldogs Challenge a Six-Point Spread?Unbeaten Alabama is favored by six at unbeaten Mississippi State, but the Bulldogs’ balanced attack and strong early-season form make this SEC matchup more competitive than the team grades alone suggest.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
ALA-225-6.0 (-108)
MSST+185+6.0 (-112)
Total 60.5Over -108Under -112
Recent form

Last 3 games

Alabama Crimson Tide

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/26/26vs SCW 49–18W -12.5O 53.5
9/19/26vs FSUW 50–36L -18.5O 50.5
9/12/26@ UKW 45–17W -9.5O 47.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/26/26vs MIZW 31–24W -3.5U 58.5
9/19/26@ SCW 41–34W +3O 59.5
9/12/26@ MINNW 38–13W -1.5U 53.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Alabama and Mississippi State
Statistic
364.2 (375.1)Total Yards383.0 (430.7)



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