CFB matchup
10/03/202612:30 PMCamp Randall StadiumMadison, WI

Michigan State2 – 2vsWisconsin3 – 1

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Michigan State SpartansB+BB+
Wisconsin BadgersBAA-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSU+320+10.0 (-112)
WIS-410-10.0 (-108)
Total 43.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Michigan State Spartans

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/26/26vs NEBL 13–31L +6U 48.5
9/19/26@ NDL 10–27W +28.5U 51.5
9/12/26vs EMUW 35–7W -17.5U 49.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Wisconsin Badgers

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/26/26@ PSUW 24–20W +9.5O 43.5
9/19/26vs EMUW 54–10W -23.5O 43.5
9/12/26vs WIUW 36–9L -43.5U 53.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Michigan State and Wisconsin
Statistic
277.7 (328.5)Total Yards301.0 (272.3)



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Spread TLSA +2.5Total 56.5
Sharp sideTLSA +2.5
Sharp totalOver 56.5
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