CFB matchup
10/03/20263:30 PMDoak Campbell StadiumTallahassee, FL

Virginia3 – 1vsFlorida State2 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Virginia CavaliersBB+B
Florida State SeminolesB+BB+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
UVA-148-2.5 (-115)
FSU+124+2.5 (-105)
Total 51.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Virginia Cavaliers

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/26/26vs DELW 42–3W -19.5U 52.5
9/19/26vs WVUL 27–38L -10.5O 51.5
9/11/26vs NORFW 59–3W -47.5O 56.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Florida State Seminoles

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–1–1W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
9/26/26vs CARKW 34–7L -45.5U 62.5
9/19/26@ ALAL 36–50W +18.5O 50.5
9/7/26vs SMUL 24–27P +3U 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Virginia and Florida State
Statistic
371.5 (380.1)Total Yards406.3 (408.0)



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Spread TLSA +2.5Total 56.5
Sharp sideTLSA +2.5
Sharp totalOver 56.5
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