Flyers0 – 1vsLightning1 – 1

Sharp side

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Model value

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Philadelphia Flyers	D+	B	C
Tampa Bay Lightning	B+	A-	A-

Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

PHI+160+1.5 (-155)

TB-192-1.5 (+130)

Total 5.5Over -122Under +102

Recent form

Last 3 games

Philadelphia Flyers

Overall0–3–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/3/26	vs CAR	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 5.5
10/1/26	@ NJ	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 5.5
9/30/26	vs PIT	L 0–7	L -1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/3/26	vs WSH	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 6.5
10/1/26	@ NYR	L 1–5	L -1.5	O 5.5
5/3/26	vs MTL	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Flyers and Lightning
	Statistic
24.1 (25.2)	Shots	28.1 (28.1)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

FlyersDan VladarExpected

LightningAndrei VasilevskiyExpected

Lineup context

Projected lines

Philadelphia Flyers

First line

CChristian Dvorak
LWTravis Konecny
RWMatvei Michkov
DTravis Sanheim
DJamie Drysdale

Tampa Bay Lightning

First line

CBrayden Point
LWGage Goncalves
RWNikita Kucherov
DJ.J. Moser
DJohn Carlson

Player availability

Injury report

Philadelphia Flyers

RWNikita GrebenkinUpper BodyDay-To-Day
DRasmus RistolainenUndisclosedDay-To-Day
CDenver BarkeyLower BodyInjured Reserve
Barkey (lower body) was placed on injured reserve Monday.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 4:46 PM EDT

Tampa Bay Lightning

DEmil LillebergUndisclosedDay-To-Day
CDominic JamesHandInjured Reserve
The Lightning placed James (hand) on non-roster injured reserve Monday.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:17 PM EDT
CYanni GourdeHipInjured Reserve
Gourde (hip) was placed on the injured non-roster list Monday.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:18 PM EDT