NHL matchup

10/06/20267:30 PMMadison Square GardenNew York, NY

Islanders2 – 2 – 0vsRangers4 – 1 – 0

Sharp side

✈️ Islanders +136

Model value

Team trendNew York Islanders: +5.09 units outright in past year

Outright bets on the New York Islanders have won in 45 of 86 games (52.3%) in the past year, returning a profit of 5.09 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total

↓ Under 5.5

Model value

Team trendNew York Rangers games: +4.48 units on Under in past year

46 of 86 games (53.5%) featuring the New York Rangers have gone Under in the past year, returning a profit of 4.48 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
New York Islanders	2.7	48.5%
New York Rangers	2.8	51.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
New York Islanders	C-	B	C+
New York Rangers	C	B	C+

Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Madison Square Garden configured for New York Rangers hockey.

Islanders vs. Rangers preview: Can the Islanders test the favorite?The Rangers bring a three-game winning streak, but our projections give the Islanders a modest edge in shots. Turning that volume into scoring pressure is the key to challenging the favorite.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+136+1.5 (-198)

NYR-162-1.5 (+164)

Total 5.5Over -120Under +100

BetMGM

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+135+1.5 (-190)

NYR-160-1.5 (+155)

Total 5.5Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+128+1.5 (-210)

NYR-152-1.5 (+165)

Total 5.5Over -124Under +100

Caesars

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+133—

NYR-157—

Total —Over —Under —

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+137+1.5 (-190)

NYR-153-1.5 (+165)

Total 5.5Over -125Under +105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+134+1.5 (-210)

NYR-162-1.5 (+164)

Total 5.5Over -120Under -102

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+130+1.5 (-185)

NYR-150-1.5 (+140)

Total 5.5Over -120Under +100

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+145+1.5 (-190)

NYR-170-1.5 (+160)

Total 5.5Over -120Under +100

Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Islanders

Overall2–8–0W–L–TPuck Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/3/26	vs NJ	W 6–0	W +1.5	O 5.5
9/30/26	@ TOR	L 1–2	W +1.5	U 5.5
4/14/26	vs CAR	L 1–2	L -1.5	U 6.5
4/12/26	vs MTL	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 6.5
4/11/26	vs OTT	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 6.5
4/9/26	vs TOR	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
4/4/26	@ CAR	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
4/3/26	vs PHI	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 5.5
3/31/26	@ BUF	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
3/30/26	vs PIT	L 3–8	L -1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Rangers

Overall6–4–0W–L–TPuck Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/4/26	vs UTAH	W 4–2	W -1.5	O 5.5
10/2/26	@ DET	W 2–0	W +1.5	U 5.5
10/1/26	vs TB	W 5–1	W +1.5	O 5.5
9/29/26	@ BOS	L 0–3	L +1.5	U 5.5
4/15/26	@ TB	W 4–2	W +1.5	U 6.5
4/13/26	@ FLA	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 6.5
4/11/26	@ DAL	L 0–2	L +1.5	U 5.5
4/8/26	vs BUF	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 6.5
4/5/26	vs WSH	W 8–1	W +1.5	O 6.5
4/4/26	vs DET	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Islanders and Rangers
	Statistic
28.1 (28.2)	Shots	25.1 (25.1)
19.6 (19.6)	Hits	25.8 (25.8)
14.4 (14.4)	Blocked Shots	14.6 (14.5)
28.7 (28.8)	Faceoffs Won	29.8 (29.8)
3.0 (3.0)	Power Play Opportunities	2.6 (2.6)
4.5 (4.5)	Takeaways	4.4 (4.4)
14.6 (14.6)	Giveaways	15.0 (15.1)
3.2 (3.3)	Penalties	3.6 (3.6)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

IslandersSemyon VarlamovConfirmed

Player props1 market

Total Saves23.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%

RangersIgor ShesterkinConfirmed

Player props1 market

Total Saves23.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%

Lineup context

Projected lines

New York Islanders

First line

CBo Horvat
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22068.8%
Total Points0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
LWEmil Heineman
Player props1 market
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%
RWKyle Palmieri
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
DAdam Pelech
DMatthew Schaefer
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
Total Points0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10050.0%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%

Second line

CCalum Ritchie
LWBrayden Schenn
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
DAlexander Romanov
DRyan Pulock

New York Rangers

First line

CMika Zibanejad
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
Total Points0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13043.5%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
RWAlexis Lafreniere
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+16537.7%Under-22569.2%
Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
DVladislav Gavrikov
Player props2 markets
Total Points0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25071.4%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
DAdam Fox
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
Total Points0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%

Second line

CJ.T. Miller
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%
Total Points0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-19065.5%Under+14041.7%
LWTye Kartye
RWPavel Dorofeyev
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+22530.8%Under-31075.6%
Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
DMarcus Pettersson
DSean Durzi
Player props1 market
Total Points0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23570.1%