MLB matchup
10/07/20268:00 PMYankee StadiumBronx, NY61°F · Clear

Rays98 – 64vsYankees93 – 68

Sharp side
🏠 Yankees -180
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 7
Model value
Team trendTampa Bay Rays games: +2.08 units on Under in past month

11 of 20 games (57.9%, excluding pushes) featuring the Tampa Bay Rays have gone Under in the past month, with one push, returning a profit of 2.08 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Tampa Bay Rays2.638.0%
New York Yankees3.862.0%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupPitchingOverall
Tampa Bay RaysBBB
New York YankeesBAA-
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Oil painting of Yankee Stadium on game dayRays vs. Yankees Game 3: Can New York’s pitching edge extend the series?Tampa Bay is one win from advancing, but New York has the stronger pitching grade with Max Fried starting. The key is whether the Yankees can turn a close hitting matchup into more damaging…Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+148+1.5 (-157)
NYY-180-1.5 (+130)
Total 7.0Over -114Under -105
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+145+1.5 (-155)
NYY-175-1.5 (+130)
Total 7.0Over -120Under +100
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+150+1.5 (-148)
NYY-182-1.5 (+120)
Total 7.0Over -114Under -107
Caesars
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+150+1.5 (-150)
NYY-180-1.5 (+136)
Total 7.0Over -120Under +100
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+153+1.5 (-152)
NYY-165-1.5 (+132)
Total 7.0Over -120Under +100
Fanatics
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+145+1.5 (-165)
NYY-175-1.5 (+135)
Total 7.0Over -115Under -105
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+150+1.5 (-156)
NYY-170-1.5 (+130)
Total 7.5Over +106Under -130
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+145+1.5 (-155)
NYY-175-1.5 (+130)
Total 7.5Over +110Under -130
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+149+1.5 (-160)
NYY-169-1.5 (+135)
Total 7.5Over +115Under -135
Recent form

Last 10 games

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/5/26vs NYYW 5–2W +1.5O 6
10/3/26vs NYYW 1–0L -1.5U 7
9/27/26@ PHIL 3–7L +1.5O 6.5
9/26/26@ PHIW 12–1W +1.5O 6.5
9/25/26@ PHIW 2–0W +1.5U 6.5
9/24/26@ NYYL 4–6L +1.5O 6
9/23/26@ NYYL 2–9L +1.5O 6.5
9/22/26@ NYYW 6–1W +1.5O 6
9/22/26@ NYYL 0–2L +1.5U 6.5
9/20/26vs BOSW 5–1W -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Yankees

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/5/26@ TBL 2–5L -1.5O 6
10/3/26@ TBL 0–1W +1.5U 7
9/30/26vs BOSW 9–2W -1.5O 7
9/29/26vs BOSW 9–0W -1.5O 6
9/25/26vs BALW 6–3W +1.5O 6.5
9/25/26vs BALL 2–10L +1.5O 7
9/24/26vs TBW 6–4W -1.5O 6
9/23/26vs TBW 9–2W -1.5O 6.5
9/22/26vs TBL 1–6L -1.5O 6
9/22/26vs TBW 2–0W -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rays and Yankees
Statistic
7.0 (8.6)Hits7.1 (7.8)
1.1 (1.4)Doubles1.3 (1.4)
0.7 (1.0)Home Runs1.2 (1.4)
10.3 (13.4)Total Bases12.1 (13.6)
2.8 (3.2)Walks3.3 (3.6)
7.4 (7.0)Strikeouts9.4 (9.2)
0.8 (1.0)Stolen Bases0.9 (0.9)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RaysNick MartinezConfirmed
Player props5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12843.9%
Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Outs Recorded12.5Over+15938.6%Under-21468.2%
Total Strikeouts2.5Over-16662.4%Under+13043.5%
Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+17236.8%Under-23269.9%
YankeesMax FriedConfirmed
Player props5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-10451.0%Under-12856.1%
Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Total Outs Recorded15.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
Total Strikeouts4.5Over-11453.3%Under-11252.8%
Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%

Starting lineups

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed
  1. 1Yandy DiazDH
    Player props8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37621.0%Under-57685.2%
    Total Hits0.5Over-22869.5%Under+16937.2%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39279.7%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13357.1%Under-10451.0%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
  2. 2Jonathan Aranda1B
    Player props7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47517.4%Under-76088.4%
    Total Hits0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11945.7%Under-15861.2%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+27926.4%Under-41180.4%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21868.6%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12856.1%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25471.8%
  3. 3Junior Caminero3B
    Player props8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44818.2%Under-71087.7%
    Total Hits0.5Over-20266.9%Under+15139.8%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
  4. 4Victor Mesa Jr.LF
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-83089.2%
    Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11646.3%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25872.1%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+47917.3%Under-77088.5%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30824.5%Under-45982.1%
  5. 5Ryan ViladeRF
    Player props7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-102091.1%
    Total Hits0.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+33223.1%Under-50083.3%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23429.9%Under-33977.2%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14640.7%Under-20467.1%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44981.8%
  6. 6Liam HicksC
    Player props7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50816.4%Under-82089.1%
    Total Hits0.5Over-14959.8%Under+11247.2%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13742.2%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+34522.5%Under-52183.9%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10449.0%Under-14358.8%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25471.8%
  7. 7Jonny DeLucaCF
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57114.9%Under-95090.5%
    Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17663.8%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50483.4%
  8. 8Richie Palacios2B
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54415.5%Under-89089.9%
    Total Hits0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+34422.5%Under-51983.8%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34277.4%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12444.6%Under-17363.4%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+56615.0%Under-94090.4%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38879.5%
  9. 9Taylor WallsSS
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+73012.0%Under-128092.8%
    Total Hits0.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+43518.7%Under-68087.2%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42380.9%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-156094.0%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24229.2%Under-35177.8%
New York YankeesConfirmed
  1. 1Trent GrishamCF
    Player props7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46817.6%Under-75088.2%
    Total Hits0.5Over-17263.2%Under+12943.7%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+21831.4%Under-31375.8%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20266.9%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21331.9%Under-30575.3%
  2. 2Ben RiceDH
    Player props8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+38120.8%Under-58485.4%
    Total Hits0.5Over-20967.6%Under+15639.1%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+17935.8%Under-25371.7%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12644.2%Under-17563.6%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over-15160.2%Under+10947.8%
  3. 3Luis Garcia Jr.1B
  4. 4Cody BellingerLF
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50416.6%Under-82089.1%
    Total Hits0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14141.5%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22669.3%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13757.8%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10408.8%Under-210095.5%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26627.3%Under-38979.6%
  5. 5George Lombard Jr.SS
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46117.8%Under-73088.0%
    Total Hits0.5Over-17663.8%Under+13243.1%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34777.6%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24429.1%Under-35478.0%
  6. 6Austin WellsC
    Player props7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+60014.3%Under-102091.1%
    Total Hits0.5Over-13357.1%Under+10050.0%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12344.8%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35277.9%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20632.7%Under-29574.7%
  7. 7Anthony Volpe2B
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46617.7%Under-74088.1%
    Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-16962.8%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+28026.3%Under-41280.5%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17636.2%Under-24871.3%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10349.3%Under-14358.8%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38820.5%Under-59885.7%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28825.8%Under-42581.0%
  8. 8Spencer JonesRF
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50916.4%Under-82089.1%
    Total Hits0.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13143.3%Under-17563.6%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+18235.5%Under-25772.0%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17336.6%Under-24470.9%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15838.8%Under-22268.9%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+66013.2%Under-114091.9%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
  9. 9Jose Caballero3B
    Player props8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57114.9%Under-95090.5%
    Total Hits0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
    Total RBIs0.5Over+31724.0%Under-47482.6%
    Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
    Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
    Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+38920.4%Under-59985.7%
    Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31024.4%Under-46282.2%


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