MLB matchup

10/08/20268:00 PMRate FieldChicago, IL67°F · Mostly clear

Guardians85 – 77vsWhite Sox84 – 78

Sharp side

✈️ Guardians -117

Model value

Team trendCleveland Guardians: +3.11 units outright in past month

The Cleveland Guardians have won outright in 13 of their 20 games (65.0%) in the past month, returning a profit of 3.11 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total

↓ Under 7

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Cleveland Guardians	3.6	56.1%
Chicago White Sox	3.0	43.9%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Cleveland Guardians	D+	A-	B-
Chicago White Sox	C+	B-	C+

Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Guardians vs. White Sox Game 4: Can Cleveland keep its bats going?Cleveland's nine-run breakout kept its season alive. Game 4 brings a new test against Hagen Smith and Chicago's bullpen, with the moneyline close to even.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-117-1.5 (+149)

CHW-103+1.5 (-181)

Total 7.0Over -112Under -107

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-118-1.5 (+150)

CHW-102+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +100

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-114-1.5 (+155)

CHW-105+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.0Over -114Under -107

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-112-1.5 (+156)

CHW-107+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.0Over -108Under -110

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-110-1.5 (+155)

CHW+100+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-115-1.5 (+145)

CHW-105+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-114-1.5 (+150)

CHW+100+1.5 (-182)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -134

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-115-1.5 (+150)

CHW-105+1.5 (-185)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -130

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

CLE-112-1.5 (+150)

CHW+102+1.5 (-180)

Total 7.5Over +120Under -145

Recent form

Last 10 games

Cleveland Guardians

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/7/26	@ CHW	W 9–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
10/5/26	vs CHW	L 3–4	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/3/26	vs CHW	L 0–3	L -1.5	U 6.5
9/27/26	@ KC	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 8
9/26/26	@ KC	W 11–5	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/25/26	@ KC	W 12–9	W -1.5	O 7
9/24/26	@ BOS	W 1–0	W +1.5	U 6.5
9/23/26	@ BOS	L 0–1	W +1.5	U 6.5
9/22/26	@ BOS	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 6
9/20/26	vs ATH	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Chicago White Sox

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/7/26	vs CLE	L 3–9	L -1.5	O 7.5
10/5/26	@ CLE	W 4–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/3/26	@ CLE	W 3–0	W +1.5	U 6.5
9/30/26	@ HOU	W 7–3	W +1.5	O 7.5
9/29/26	@ HOU	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 8.5
9/27/26	vs COL	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 8.5
9/26/26	vs COL	L 6–9	L -1.5	O 8
9/25/26	vs COL	W 6–1	W -1.5	U 8
9/24/26	@ KC	W 9–1	W -1.5	O 8.5
9/23/26	@ KC	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Guardians and White Sox
	Statistic
7.4 (7.9)	Hits	6.5 (7.9)
1.4 (1.5)	Doubles	1.2 (1.5)
0.8 (1.0)	Home Runs	0.9 (1.3)
11.5 (12.6)	Total Bases	10.6 (13.5)
3.4 (3.6)	Walks	3.2 (3.6)
8.0 (7.9)	Strikeouts	9.4 (9.3)
0.8 (0.9)	Stolen Bases	0.5 (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

GuardiansParker MessickConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-18464.8%Under+13842.0%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-13557.4%Under+10548.8%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%

White SoxHagen SmithConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed0.5Over+16937.2%Under-22869.5%

Total Hits Allowed1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%

Total Outs Recorded5.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Strikeouts1.5Over-15160.2%Under+11845.9%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%

Starting lineups

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed

1Steven KwanCF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+16038.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44418.4%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30224.9%Under-45081.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12245.0%Under-16962.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11147.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16161.7%
2Jose Ramirez3B
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17263.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+36421.6%Under-55584.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22769.4%Under+16837.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20333.0%Under-29074.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+11247.2%Under-15460.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11954.3%Under-11653.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51983.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15761.1%
3Chase DeLauterRF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-22068.8%Under+16338.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9609.4%Under-184094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
4Jo AdellDH
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39220.3%Under-61085.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24771.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14341.2%Under-19966.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+10208.9%Under-200095.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
5Nathaniel Lowe1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48217.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17163.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32476.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16762.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
6Angel MartinezLF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42219.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15761.1%Under+11845.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27473.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15961.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+89010.1%Under-166094.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39579.8%
7Travis Bazzana2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49016.9%Under-79088.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13143.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27773.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12245.0%Under-17063.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+69012.7%Under-120092.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23370.0%
8Austin HedgesC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+82010.9%Under-150093.8%
Total Hits0.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+41319.5%Under-65086.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+26827.2%Under-39479.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25428.2%Under-37078.7%
9Brayan RocchioSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45518.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17964.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+29525.3%Under-43781.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25271.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15861.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+77011.5%Under-138093.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%

Chicago White SoxConfirmed

1Chase Meidroth2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43018.9%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-21868.6%Under+16238.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30224.9%Under-44981.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13858.0%Under+10050.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17836.0%Under-25171.5%
2Randal GrichukLF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46417.7%Under-74088.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-14659.3%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23629.8%Under-34177.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16437.9%Under-23169.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14441.0%Under-20166.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+31424.2%Under-47082.5%
3Miguel Vargas3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45817.9%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16161.7%Under+12145.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13842.0%Under-19265.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9509.5%Under-182094.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10748.3%Under-14859.7%
4Munetaka Murakami1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+59514.4%Under-100090.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-12856.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17463.5%Under+13043.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27573.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19165.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19234.2%Under-27373.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
5Tommy PhamDH
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+31324.2%Under-46782.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28474.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
6Brenton DoyleCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-108091.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11553.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30624.6%Under-45682.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23529.9%Under-34077.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16138.3%Under-22569.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35921.8%Under-54784.5%
7Kyle TeelC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13156.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34722.4%Under-52584.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23729.7%Under-34277.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23770.3%
8Braden MontgomeryRF
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57314.9%Under-95090.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10947.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+34322.6%Under-51883.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34477.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18665.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42581.0%
9Colson MontgomerySS
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+74011.9%Under-132093.0%
Total Hits0.5Over+10349.3%Under-13757.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30124.9%Under-44781.7%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19833.6%Under-28273.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+21032.3%Under-30175.1%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%

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