NHL matchup
10/08/20269:00 PMScotiabank SaddledomeCalgary, AB

Avalanche3 – 1 – 0vsFlames0 – 4 – 0

Sharp side
✈️ Avalanche -238
Model value
Team trendCalgary Flames opponents: +3.22 units outright in past year

Outright bets against the Calgary Flames have won in 51 of 84 games (60.7%) in the past year, returning a profit of 3.22 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total
↓ Under 6.5
Model value
Team trendColorado Avalanche games: +1.88 units on Under in past year

52 of 97 games (53.6%) featuring the Colorado Avalanche have gone Under in the past year, returning a profit of 1.88 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Avalanche4.074.3%
Calgary Flames2.325.7%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Colorado AvalancheA+A-A+
Calgary FlamesDCD+
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Illustrated interior of Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary during a professional ice hockey gameAvalanche vs. Flames preview: Can Calgary find enough scoring?Calgary has scored once in each of its first three games. Colorado brings a stronger attack, but a back-to-back and a steep moneyline price complicate the matchup.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

Draft Kings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-238-1.5 (+105)
CGY+195+1.5 (-125)
Total 6.5Over +105Under -125
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-235-1.5 (+100)
CGY+195+1.5 (-120)
Total 6.5Over +100Under -120
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-265-1.5 (-106)
CGY+215+1.5 (-118)
Total 6.5Over +102Under -127
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-240—
CGY+195—
Total —Over —Under —
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-240-1.5 (+105)
CGY+212+1.5 (-125)
Total 6.0Over -120Under +100
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-245-1.5 (+100)
CGY+198+1.5 (-124)
Total 6.0Over -122Under +100
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-240-1.5 (+100)
CGY+185+1.5 (-120)
Total 6.5Over +105Under -130
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-230-1.5 (+105)
CGY+195+1.5 (-125)
Total 6.5Over +110Under -130
Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Avalanche

Overall4–6–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/7/26@ WPGL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5
10/3/26vs STLW 6–1W -1.5O 6.5
9/30/26vs LAW 8–4W -1.5O 6.5
5/26/26@ VGKL 1–2W +1.5U 6.5
5/24/26@ VGKL 3–5L -1.5O 6.5
5/22/26vs VGKL 1–3L -1.5U 6.5
5/20/26vs VGKL 2–4L -1.5U 6.5
5/13/26vs MINW 4–3L -1.5O 6.5
5/11/26@ MINW 5–2W -1.5O 6.5
5/9/26@ MINL 1–5L -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Calgary Flames

Overall3–7–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/4/26@ SEAL 1–6L +1.5O 5.5
10/3/26@ VANL 1–4L +1.5U 6.5
10/1/26vs SEAL 1–6L -1.5O 5.5
4/16/26vs LAW 3–1W +1.5U 6.5
4/14/26vs COLL 1–3L +1.5U 6.5
4/12/26vs UTAHW 4–1W +1.5U 6.5
4/11/26@ SEAL 1–4L +1.5U 6.5
4/9/26@ COLL 1–3L +1.5U 6.5
4/7/26@ DALL 3–4W +1.5O 5.5
4/4/26@ ANAW 5–3W +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Avalanche and Flames
Statistic
33.9 (33.6)Shots28.1 (28.1)
17.7 (18.0)Hits20.7 (20.5)
13.0 (12.8)Blocked Shots14.5 (15.0)
30.3 (30.2)Faceoffs Won28.4 (28.3)
3.2 (3.1)Power Play Opportunities2.7 (2.8)
4.6 (4.6)Takeaways4.5 (4.5)
15.6 (15.6)Giveaways16.7 (16.6)
3.3 (3.4)Penalties4.3 (4.0)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

AvalancheScott WedgewoodConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves22.5Over+10050.0%Under-13056.5%
FlamesDevin CooleyConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves28.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Colorado Avalanche
First line
  • CNathan MacKinnon
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17037.0%
    Total Points1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal4.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
  • LWArtturi Lehkonen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20033.3%Under-27073.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
  • RWMartin Necas
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
    Total Points1.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
  • DDevon Toews
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
  • DCale Makar
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13043.5%
    Total Points1.5Over+17037.0%Under-23570.1%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
Second line
  • CBrock Nelson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20532.8%Under-28574.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12045.5%
  • LWGabriel Landeskog
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
  • RWNazem Kadri
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11546.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • DBrett Kulak
  • DSam Malinski
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+28026.3%Under-40080.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+21531.7%Under-29574.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16562.3%Under+12544.4%
Calgary Flames
First line
  • CMorgan Frost
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20532.8%Under-28073.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
  • LWMatvei Gridin
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20532.8%Under-28574.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-18564.9%Under+13542.6%
  • RWMatt Coronato
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25071.4%
    Total Points0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%
  • DKevin Bahl
  • DZach Whitecloud
    Player props1 market
    Total Blocked Shots2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13557.4%
Second line
  • CMikael Backlund
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+29525.3%Under-42581.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+16537.7%Under-23069.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
  • LWYegor Sharangovich
  • RWJoel Farabee
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38079.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
  • DYan Kuznetsov
    Player props1 market
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-16061.5%Under+11546.5%
  • DSimon Nemec


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