NHL matchup

10/13/20266:30 PMBell CentreMontreal, QC

Sabres3 – 3 – 1vsCanadiens3 – 3 – 1

Sharp side

✈️ Sabres +130

Model value

Team trendBuffalo Sabres: +16.55 units outright in past year

Outright bets on the Buffalo Sabres have won in 60 of 99 games (60.6%) in the past year, returning a profit of 16.55 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total

↑ Over 6.5

Model value

Team trendMontreal Canadiens games: +5.58 units on Over in past year

57 of 104 games (54.8%) featuring the Montreal Canadiens have gone Over in the past year, returning a profit of 5.58 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Buffalo Sabres	3.2	45.2%
Montreal Canadiens	3.5	54.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Buffalo Sabres	B	C	B-
Montreal Canadiens	B	C+	B

Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Illustrated interior of Bell Centre in Montreal during a professional ice hockey playoff game

Sabres vs. Canadiens preview: Buffalo’s rebound meets a tougher test without DahlinBuffalo’s five-goal rebound came with a costly injury. Montreal is favored, but a close shooting outlook and uneven recent goaltending complicate the matchup.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+130+1.5 (-192)

MTL-155-1.5 (+160)

Total 6.5Over -105Under -115

BetMGM

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+125+1.5 (-190)

MTL-155-1.5 (+154)

Total 6.5Over -105Under -115

BetRivers

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+135+1.5 (-200)

MTL-162-1.5 (+155)

Total 6.5Over -107Under -115

Caesars

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+133—

MTL-159—

Total —Over —Under —

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+134+1.5 (-185)

MTL-149-1.5 (+160)

Total 6.5Over +100Under -120

FanDuel

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+130+1.5 (-182)

MTL-156-1.5 (+152)

Total 6.5Over -104Under -118

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+130+1.5 (-185)

MTL-150-1.5 (+140)

Total 6.5Over -105Under -115

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+135+1.5 (-190)

MTL-155-1.5 (+160)

Total 6.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 10 games

Buffalo Sabres

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/12/26	vs FLA	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 5.5
10/10/26	vs UTAH	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 6.5
10/8/26	vs DAL	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 6.5
10/6/26	vs MIN	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/3/26	vs CHI	W 4–3	L -1.5	O 5.5
10/1/26	@ CBJ	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 6.5
5/18/26	vs MTL	L 2–3	L -1.5	U 5.5
5/16/26	@ MTL	W 8–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
5/14/26	vs MTL	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 5.5
5/12/26	@ MTL	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Montreal Canadiens

Overall3–7–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/10/26	vs DET	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 6.5
10/8/26	vs NSH	L 2–5	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/6/26	vs CAR	L 4–6	L +1.5	O 6.5
10/3/26	@ PIT	L 5–6	L -1.5	O 6.5
9/29/26	@ TOR	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 6.5
5/29/26	@ CAR	L 1–6	L +1.5	O 5.5
5/27/26	vs CAR	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 5.5
5/25/26	vs CAR	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 5.5
5/23/26	@ CAR	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
5/21/26	@ CAR	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Sabres and Canadiens
	Statistic
28.3 (28.4)	Shots	25.9 (25.8)
20.4 (20.3)	Hits	23.5 (23.7)
14.0 (14.2)	Blocked Shots	16.4 (16.4)
26.8 (26.5)	Faceoffs Won	28.7 (28.7)
3.1 (3.1)	Power Play Opportunities	3.0 (3.0)
4.8 (4.8)	Takeaways	4.5 (4.5)
15.7 (15.4)	Giveaways	13.9 (13.9)
4.2 (4.1)	Penalties	4.6 (4.6)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SabresUkko-Pekka LuukkonenConfirmed

CanadiensJacob FowlerConfirmed

Player props1 market

Total Saves22.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%

Lineup context

Projected lines

Buffalo Sabres

First line

CTage Thompson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
Total Points0.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
LWPeyton Krebs
Player props2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34077.3%
Total Points0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
RWJosh Doan
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%
Total Points0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
DMattias Samuelsson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+26527.4%Under-38079.2%
Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
Total Points0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
DOlen Zellweger
Player props2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+33023.3%Under-47582.6%
Total Points0.5Over+22530.8%Under-31075.6%

Second line

CNoah Ostlund
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
Total Points0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
LWZach Benson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
Total Points0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
RWJack Quinn
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22068.8%
Total Points0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
DOwen Power
Player props2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
Total Points0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
DZach Metsa

Montreal Canadiens

First line

CNick Suzuki
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-17563.6%Under+12544.4%
Total Points1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15060.0%
LWCole Caufield
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
Total Points0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17536.4%
Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
RWJuraj Slafkovsky
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
Total Points0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13043.5%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
DKaiden Guhle
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+38020.8%Under-55084.6%
Total Points0.5Over+29525.3%Under-42581.0%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
DAlexandre Carrier
Player props2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47582.6%
Total Points0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%

Second line

CAlex Newhook
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
Total Points0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17563.6%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
LWChris Kreider
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+18035.7%Under-24571.0%
Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
RWJosh Anderson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+33023.3%Under-47582.6%
Total Points0.5Over+18035.7%Under-24571.0%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
DLane Hutson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
Total Points0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15040.0%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
DNoah Dobson
Player props4 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-16562.3%Under+11546.5%
Total Points0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%