NHL matchup
10/13/20269:00 PMDelta CenterSalt Lake City, UT

Maple Leafs7 – 6 – 2vsMammoth9 – 5 – 0

Sharp side
🏠 Mammoth -162
Model value
Model trendUtah Mammoth games: +2.61 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Utah Mammoth went 9–5 (64.3%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.61 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
↓ Under 6.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Toronto Maple Leafs2.633.4%
Utah Mammoth3.866.6%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Toronto Maple LeafsC+C-C
Utah MammothBBB
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Delta Center in Salt Lake City, with abstracted figures and unbranded architecture.Toronto vs. Utah preview: A special-teams test for the MammothUtah’s early power-play success faces a Toronto team coming off a big night from its stars. Special teams help frame both the Mammoth’s favorite status and the 6.5-goal total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+136+1.5 (-180)
UTAH-162-1.5 (+150)
Total 6.5Over -118Under -102
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+135+1.5 (-175)
UTAH-160-1.5 (+145)
Total 6.5Over -118Under -102
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+135+1.5 (-190)
UTAH-162-1.5 (+150)
Total 6.5Over -118Under -106
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+125—
UTAH-145—
Total —Over —Under —
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+137+1.5 (-178)
UTAH-153-1.5 (+154)
Total 6.5Over -115Under -105
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+132+1.5 (-180)
UTAH-160-1.5 (+152)
Total 6.5Over -120Under -102
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+130+1.5 (-185)
UTAH-150-1.5 (+140)
Total 6.5Over -115Under -105
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
TOR+135+1.5 (-175)
UTAH-155-1.5 (+145)
Total 6.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Toronto Maple Leafs

Overall3–7–0W–L–TPuck Line3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/10/26@ COLW 6–3W +1.5O 6.5
10/8/26@ VGKL 3–4W +1.5O 6.5
10/6/26vs NSHW 5–4L -1.5O 5.5
10/3/26vs OTTL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5
9/30/26vs NYIW 2–1L -1.5U 5.5
9/29/26vs MTLL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5
4/15/26@ OTTL 1–3L +1.5U 6.5
4/13/26vs DALL 5–6W +1.5O 6.5
4/11/26vs FLAL 2–6L -1.5O 6.5
4/9/26@ NYIL 3–5L +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Utah Mammoth

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/10/26@ BUFW 4–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/8/26@ BOSL 1–6L -1.5O 6.5
10/6/26@ NJW 5–3W +1.5O 6.5
10/4/26@ NYRL 2–4L +1.5O 5.5
10/3/26@ CBJW 4–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/1/26vs CHIW 6–0W -1.5U 6.5
5/1/26vs VGKL 1–5L +1.5U 6.5
4/29/26@ VGKL 4–5W +1.5O 5.5
4/27/26vs VGKL 4–5W +1.5O 5.5
4/24/26vs VGKW 4–2W +1.5O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Maple Leafs and Mammoth
Statistic
26.3 (26.5)Shots28.2 (28.0)
22.5 (22.4)Hits21.3 (21.3)
15.0 (15.1)Blocked Shots14.1 (13.9)
30.3 (30.4)Faceoffs Won28.9 (29.0)
2.5 (2.5)Power Play Opportunities2.9 (2.9)
4.6 (4.7)Takeaways4.5 (4.4)
16.4 (16.3)Giveaways16.5 (16.6)
3.7 (3.7)Penalties3.9 (3.9)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

Maple LeafsAnthony StolarzConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves29.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
MammothKarel VejmelkaConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves23.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Toronto Maple Leafs
First line
  • CAuston Matthews
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-22569.2%Under+16537.7%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
  • LWKirill Marchenko
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
  • RWJack Roslovic
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+24529.0%Under-34077.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
  • DJake McCabe
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+36021.7%Under-52584.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+31024.4%Under-45081.8%
  • DDarren Raddysh
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13056.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
Second line
  • CJohn Tavares
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
    Total Points0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • LWEaston Cowan
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+27526.7%Under-39079.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
  • RWWilliam Nylander
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
    Total Points0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11546.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
  • DMorgan Rielly
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
  • DTroy Stecher
Utah Mammoth
First line
  • CNick Schmaltz
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
    Total Points0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13043.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • LWClayton Keller
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points0.5Over-24070.6%Under+17536.4%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
  • RWLawson Crouse
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47582.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20066.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
  • DMikhail Sergachev
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12544.4%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • DMacKenzie Weegar
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42581.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+21531.7%Under-29574.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
Second line
  • CVincent Trocheck
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+21032.3%Under-29074.4%
    Total Points0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
  • LWLogan Cooley
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
    Total Points0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-17563.6%Under+13043.5%
  • RWDylan Guenther
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-20066.7%Under+15040.0%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • DNate Schmidt
  • DJohn Marino
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+20532.8%Under-28574.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%


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