MLB matchup
10/15/20261:00 PMProgressive FieldCleveland, OH63°F · Mostly cloudy

Rays98 – 64vsGuardians85 – 77

Sharp side
Unlock pick
Model value
Sharp total
Unlock pick
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupPitchingOverall
Tampa Bay RaysB+B+B+
Cleveland GuardiansC-A-B-
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Progressive Field in Cleveland at blue hour, with its baseball diamond, white steel structures and downtown backdrop.Rays vs. Guardians: Williams’ workload adds intrigue to Game 3Cleveland is a modest Game 3 favorite, but Gavin Williams' recent workload and Tampa Bay's stronger lineup grade complicate the pitching matchup.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun Line
TB+111+1.5 (-202)
CLE-134-1.5 (+165)
Total 6.5Over -120Under -101
Recent form

Last 3 games

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–1–1O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/13/26vs CLEW 3–1W -1.5U 6.5
10/12/26vs CLEL 3–7L -1.5O 6.5
10/7/26@ NYYW 4–3W +1.5P 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Guardians

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/13/26@ TBL 1–3L +1.5U 6.5
10/12/26@ TBW 7–3W +1.5O 6.5
10/10/26vs CHWW 2–0W -1.5U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rays and Guardians
Statistic
7.3 (8.6)Hits7.0 (8.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RaysGriffin JaxProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16662.4%
GuardiansGavin WilliamsProbable
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%

Expected Starters

Tampa Bay RaysProjected
  1. 1Yandy DiazDH
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14940.2%Under-19966.6%
  2. 2Jonathan Aranda1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
  3. 3Junior Caminero3B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
  4. 4Victor Mesa Jr.RF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48417.1%Under-78088.6%
  5. 5Jonny DeLucaCF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+37721.0%Under-57885.3%
  6. 6Chandler SimpsonLF
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+15439.4%Under-20767.4%
  7. 7Liam HicksC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
  8. 8Richie Palacios2B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56815.0%Under-94090.4%
  9. 9Taylor WallsSS
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Cleveland GuardiansProjected
  1. 1Steven KwanLF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41319.5%Under-65086.7%
  2. 2Jose Ramirez3B
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14640.7%Under-19666.2%
  3. 3Chase DeLauterDH
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19766.3%
  4. 4Jo AdellRF
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
  5. 5Nathaniel Lowe1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
  6. 6Travis Bazzana2B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
  7. 7Petey HalpinCF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+58514.6%Under-98090.7%
  8. 8Patrick BaileyC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
  9. 9Brayan RocchioSS
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55315.3%Under-91090.1%

Player availability

Injury report

Tampa Bay Rays
  • RPEdwin UcetaShoulder60-Day-IL
    Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.
    Updated: Aug 14, 2026 at 10:52 PM EDT
  • LFGavin LuxShoulder60-Day-IL
    Lux (shoulder) has resumed full baseball activity, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
    Updated: Sep 11, 2026 at 5:41 PM EDT
  • LFJacob MeltonHamstring60-Day-IL
    The Rays recalled Melton from Triple-A Durham and placed him on the 60-day injured list Tuesday due to a right hamstring strain.
    Updated: Sep 15, 2026 at 2:08 PM EDT
Cleveland Guardians
  • RPAndrew WaltersElbowOut
    Walters underwent a right elbow UCL repair with an internal brace Wednesday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 10, 2026 at 1:03 PM EDT
  • RPColin HoldermanWrist15-Day-IL
    Holderman underwent surgery Wednesday to relieve recurring tendinitis in his right wrist, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 14, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT
  • 1BRhys HoskinsBack10-Day-IL
    Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said Friday that Hoskins (back) has begun a swing progression program, MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 8:07 AM EDT

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial


Welcome back