CFB matchup
10/17/202612:00 PMTiger StadiumBaton Rouge, LA

Mississippi State4 – 1vsLSU4 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Mississippi State BulldogsABB+
LSU TigersAAA
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Refined editorial oil painting of a sports venueMississippi State vs. LSU: Can the Tigers turn a defensive rebound into separation?LSU is a two-touchdown favorite, but both teams are coming off losses. Our projections put Mississippi State’s running game at the center of the spread and scoring outlook.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MSST+440+14.5 (-112)
LSU-600-14.5 (-108)
Total 57.5Over -108Under -112
Recent form

Last 3 games

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/3/26vs ALAL 23–56L +5.5O 62.5
9/26/26vs MIZW 31–24W -3.5U 58.5
9/19/26@ SCW 41–34W +3O 59.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

LSU Tigers

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/10/26@ UKL 34–35L -9.5O 50.5
10/3/26vs MCNW 63–14L -53.5O 62.5
9/26/26vs TA&MW 35–6W -8.5U 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mississippi State and LSU
Statistic
343.4 (437.6)Total Yards438.5 (403.4)



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