MLB matchup
10/19/20268:00 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, FL

Guardians85 – 77vsRays98 – 64

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupPitchingOverall
Cleveland GuardiansC-BC
Tampa Bay RaysB+B+B+
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.Guardians vs. Rays Game 6: Cleveland’s bullpen faces an early-pressure testTampa Bay is one win from the pennant. Cleveland’s bullpen approach and a 6.5-run total put the focus on early baserunners—and whether the Guardians’ bats can respond.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineRun Line
CLE+130+1.5 (-169)
TB-158-1.5 (+139)
Total 7.0Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 3 games

Cleveland Guardians

Overall1–2–0W–L–TRun Line0–3–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/18/26vs TBL 1–3L +1.5U 6
10/17/26vs TBL 3–7L +1.5O 6.5
10/15/26vs TBW 3–2L -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall2–1–0W–L–TRun Line3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun LineTotal
10/18/26@ CLEW 3–1W -1.5U 6
10/17/26@ CLEW 7–3W -1.5O 6.5
10/15/26@ CLEL 2–3W +1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Guardians and Rays
Statistic
6.8 (7.9)Hits7.9 (8.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

GuardiansShawn ArmstrongConfirmed
RaysFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
Player props1 of 5 markets
Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%

Starting lineups

Cleveland GuardiansConfirmed
  1. 1Steven KwanLF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39420.2%Under-61085.9%
  2. 2Jose Ramirez3B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
  3. 3Chase DeLauterRF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43718.6%Under-69087.3%
  4. 4Jo AdellDH
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
  5. 5Nathaniel Lowe1B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47317.5%Under-76088.4%
  6. 6Travis Bazzana2B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+47217.5%Under-75088.2%
  7. 7Patrick BaileyC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+57414.8%Under-95090.5%
  8. 8Petey HalpinCF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+70012.5%Under-122092.4%
  9. 9Brayan RocchioSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51616.2%Under-84089.4%
Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed
  1. 1Yandy DiazDH
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17463.5%
  2. 2Jonathan Aranda1B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19466.0%
  3. 3Liam HicksC
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
  4. 4Junior Caminero3B
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18965.4%
  5. 5Chandler SimpsonLF
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Bases1.5Over+15639.1%Under-20967.6%
  6. 6Victor Mesa Jr.RF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43418.7%Under-68087.2%
  7. 7Jonny DeLucaCF
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+46317.8%Under-74088.1%
  8. 8Richie Palacios2B
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51816.2%Under-84089.4%
  9. 9Taylor WallsSS
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%

Player availability

Injury report

Cleveland Guardians
  • RPAndrew WaltersElbowOut
    Walters underwent a right elbow UCL repair with an internal brace Wednesday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 10, 2026 at 1:03 PM EDT
  • RPColin HoldermanWrist15-Day-IL
    Holderman underwent surgery Wednesday to relieve recurring tendinitis in his right wrist, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 14, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT
  • 1BRhys HoskinsBack10-Day-IL
    Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said Friday that Hoskins (back) has begun a swing progression program, MLB.com reports.
    Updated: Sep 12, 2026 at 8:07 AM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
  • RPEdwin UcetaShoulder60-Day-IL
    Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.
    Updated: Aug 14, 2026 at 10:52 PM EDT
  • LFGavin LuxShoulder60-Day-IL
    Lux (shoulder) has resumed full baseball activity, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
    Updated: Sep 11, 2026 at 5:41 PM EDT
  • LFJacob MeltonHamstring60-Day-IL
    The Rays recalled Melton from Triple-A Durham and placed him on the 60-day injured list Tuesday due to a right hamstring strain.
    Updated: Sep 15, 2026 at 2:08 PM EDT

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