NHL matchup

10/24/20267:00 PMCapital One ArenaWashington, DC

Sabres6 – 4 – 3vsCapitals8 – 4 – 0

Sharp side

🏠 Capitals -120

Model value

Model trendWashington Capitals games: +4.27 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Washington Capitals went 9–3 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.27 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↓ Under 6.5

Model value

Model trendWashington Capitals games: +2.83 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Washington Capitals went 8–4 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.83 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Buffalo Sabres	3.2	46.2%
Washington Capitals	3.5	53.8%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Buffalo Sabres	B	C+	B-
Washington Capitals	B	C+	B-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Capital One Arena in Washington.

Sabres vs. Capitals preview: Familiar faces, closely matched teamsAlex Tuch faces Buffalo for the first time with Washington, but the betting story centers on a modest favorite, similar shot projections and uncertainty in net.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+100+1.5 (-238)

WSH-120-1.5 (+195)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +110

BetMGM

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+100+1.5 (-225)

WSH-120-1.5 (+185)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+106+1.5 (-245)

WSH-125-1.5 (+190)

Total 6.5Over -129Under +104

Caesars

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+106+1.5 (-240)

WSH-125-1.5 (+195)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +106

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+106+1.5 (-225)

WSH-118-1.5 (+195)

Total 6.5Over -125Under +105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+100+1.5 (-240)

WSH-120-1.5 (+190)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +106

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+100+1.5 (-250)

WSH-120-1.5 (+180)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +105

Kalshi

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+104—

WSH-113—

Total —Over —Under —

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF+100+1.5 (-235)

WSH-120-1.5 (+190)

Total 6.5Over -130Under +110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Buffalo Sabres

Overall4–6–0W–L–TPuck Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/21/26	vs PHI	L 1–3	L -1.5	U 6.5
10/17/26	@ MTL	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/15/26	@ TOR	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/13/26	@ MTL	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/12/26	vs FLA	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 5.5
10/10/26	vs UTAH	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 6.5
10/8/26	vs DAL	L 0–4	L +1.5	U 6.5
10/6/26	vs MIN	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/3/26	vs CHI	W 4–3	L -1.5	O 5.5
10/1/26	@ CBJ	L 3–6	L -1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Capitals

Overall6–4–0W–L–TPuck Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/20/26	vs LA	L 2–5	L -1.5	O 5.5
10/17/26	vs NJ	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 6.5
10/14/26	vs MTL	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/13/26	@ CAR	L 2–4	L +1.5	U 6.5
10/11/26	vs SEA	L 3–5	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/9/26	vs NYR	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 5.5
10/7/26	vs PIT	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
10/3/26	@ TB	L 1–3	L +1.5	U 6.5
10/2/26	@ CAR	W 5–2	W +1.5	O 6.5
4/14/26	@ CBJ	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Sabres and Capitals
	Statistic
28.2 (28.2)	Shots	27.7 (27.6)
20.4 (20.3)	Hits	19.2 (19.4)
13.8 (14.0)	Blocked Shots	16.3 (16.3)
26.7 (26.4)	Faceoffs Won	26.9 (26.8)
3.1 (3.1)	Power Play Opportunities	2.9 (2.9)
4.8 (4.8)	Takeaways	4.4 (4.4)
15.8 (15.6)	Giveaways	15.3 (15.4)
4.2 (4.1)	Penalties	4.1 (4.0)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SabresUkko-Pekka LuukkonenConfirmed

Player props1 market

Total Saves25.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%

CapitalsCharlie LindgrenConfirmed

Player props1 market

Total Saves25.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%

Lineup context

Projected lines

Buffalo Sabres

First line

CJosh Norris
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+27526.7%Under-39079.6%
Total Points0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
LWJason Zucker
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+20033.3%Under-27573.3%
Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
RWTage Thompson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
Total Points0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13043.5%
Total Shots on Goal3.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
DRasmus Dahlin
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
Total Points0.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
DMattias Samuelsson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%
Total Points0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25571.8%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%

Second line

CNoah Ostlund
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25571.8%
Total Points0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
LWZach Benson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21568.3%
Total Points0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
RWJack Quinn
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20066.7%
Total Points0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
DOwen Power
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+21531.7%Under-29574.7%
Total Points0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20066.7%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
DOlen Zellweger
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+33023.3%Under-47582.6%
Total Points0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31075.6%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%

Washington Capitals

First line

CPierre-Luc Dubois
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+14041.7%Under-18564.9%
Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
LWAliaksei Protas
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
RWTom Wilson
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%
Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
DJakob Chychrun
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16562.3%
Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
DMatt Roy
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+40020.0%Under-60085.7%
Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
Total Points0.5Over+32023.8%Under-47582.6%

Second line

CDylan Strome
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16562.3%
Total Points0.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
LWAlex Tuch
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21568.3%
Total Points0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10050.0%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
RWJordan Kyrou
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
DMartin Fehervary
Player props3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+28526.0%Under-40080.0%
Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-16061.5%Under+11546.5%
Total Points0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35077.8%
DTimothy Liljegren
Player props2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+65013.3%Under-110091.7%
Total Points0.5Over+47517.4%Under-75088.2%