MLB matchup

10/24/20268:00 PMAmerican Family FieldMilwaukee, WI

Rays98 – 64vsBrewers103 – 59

Sharp side

✈️ Rays +104

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 6.5

Model value

Model trendTampa Bay Rays games: +4.73 units on model total bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model total bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Tampa Bay Rays went 12–6 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.73 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Tampa Bay Rays	2.8	47.9%
Milwaukee Brewers	3.0	52.1%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Tampa Bay Rays	B+	A-	A-
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	A-	A-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of American Family Field in Milwaukee

Rays vs. Brewers Game 2 preview: Tampa Bay’s aggression meets Milwaukee’s edgeMilwaukee has the series lead and a small moneyline edge. Tampa Bay's aggressive baserunning and Drew Rasmussen give Game 2 a different set of pressure points.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+104-1.5 (+180)

MIL-116+1.5 (-221)

Total 6.5Over -108Under -111

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB-102-1.5 (+180)

MIL-118+1.5 (-220)

Total 6.5Over -110Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+100-1.5 (+175)

MIL-120+1.5 (-220)

Total 6.5Over -112Under -109

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+102-1.5 (+188)

MIL-120+1.5 (-225)

Total 6.5Over -112Under -105

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+104-1.5 (+185)

MIL-114+1.5 (-215)

Total 6.5Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+100-1.5 (+170)

MIL-120+1.5 (-215)

Total 6.5Over -105Under -115

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+100-1.5 (+176)

MIL-114+1.5 (-215)

Total 6.5Over -112Under -108

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+100-1.5 (+180)

MIL-120+1.5 (-220)

Total 6.5Over -110Under -110

Kalshi

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+104—

MIL-113—

Total —Over —Under —

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

TB+104-1.5 (+180)

MIL-118+1.5 (-235)

Total 6.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 10 games

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun Line8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/23/26	@ MIL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/19/26	vs CLE	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 7
10/18/26	@ CLE	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 6
10/17/26	@ CLE	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
10/15/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/13/26	vs CLE	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 6.5
10/12/26	vs CLE	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/7/26	@ NYY	W 4–3	W +1.5	P 7
10/5/26	vs NYY	W 5–2	W +1.5	O 6
10/3/26	vs NYY	W 1–0	L -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/23/26	vs TB	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 6.5
10/15/26	@ LAD	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
10/14/26	@ LAD	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7
10/12/26	vs LAD	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/11/26	vs LAD	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 6
10/7/26	@ SD	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
10/6/26	@ SD	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
10/4/26	vs SD	W 4–3	L -1.5	P 7
10/3/26	vs SD	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7
9/27/26	vs STL	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rays and Brewers
	Statistic
7.2 (8.6)	Hits	7.0 (8.8)
1.1 (1.4)	Doubles	1.3 (1.7)
0.7 (1.0)	Home Runs	0.7 (1.0)
10.6 (13.3)	Total Bases	10.6 (13.6)
2.8 (3.1)	Walks	3.7 (4.1)
7.4 (7.1)	Strikeouts	8.8 (8.5)
0.9 (1.0)	Stolen Bases	0.9 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RaysDrew RasmussenConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%

Total Hits Allowed4.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%

Total Outs Recorded17.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%

Total Strikeouts5.5Over-15660.9%Under+12245.0%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%

BrewersLogan HendersonConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15260.3%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-14158.5%Under+10648.5%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-12355.2%Under-10451.0%

Total Walks Allowed0.5Over-21968.7%Under+16338.0%

Starting lineups

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed

1Yandy DiazDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42918.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24070.6%Under+17736.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11152.6%Under-12054.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32376.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-14659.3%Under+10548.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24828.7%Under-36178.3%
2Jonathan Aranda1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-17363.4%Under+12943.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28126.2%Under-41380.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15339.5%Under-21568.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27273.1%
3Chandler SimpsonLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14740.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+39120.4%Under-60085.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-24671.1%Under+18235.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10250.5%Under-13156.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33223.1%Under-50083.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24871.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12045.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33977.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+34122.7%Under-51583.7%
4Junior Caminero3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18665.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44618.3%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-10551.2%Under-12755.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23570.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13243.1%Under-18364.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15260.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+20133.2%Under-28774.2%
5Liam HicksC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44518.3%Under-70087.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16962.8%Under+12744.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16462.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26227.6%Under-38479.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27573.3%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10350.7%Under-13457.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27673.4%
6Richie Palacios2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+56315.1%Under-93090.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+35322.1%Under-53584.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+25028.6%Under-36378.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14840.3%Under-20867.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+11807.8%Under-250096.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+27226.9%Under-40080.0%
7Jonny DeLucaCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48517.1%Under-78088.6%
Total Hits0.5Over-16762.5%Under+12544.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-40080.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10149.8%Under-14058.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+57814.7%Under-96090.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+35721.9%Under-54284.4%
8Victor Mesa Jr.RF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+51116.4%Under-83089.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28725.8%Under-42480.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22530.8%Under-32576.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+15639.1%Under-21968.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+9109.9%Under-174094.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45381.9%
9Taylor WallsSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-118092.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+43118.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37979.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+16737.5%Under-23670.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53815.7%Under-88089.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+26127.7%Under-38279.3%

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12843.9%Under-17063.0%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42818.9%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-24270.8%Under+17935.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12344.8%Under-17163.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
2Jake Bauers1B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45518.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15660.9%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16261.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23929.5%Under-34777.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+13742.2%Under-19265.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13442.7%Under-18765.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+80011.1%Under-146093.6%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13043.5%Under-18064.3%
3Christian YelichDH
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45518.0%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18464.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30524.7%Under-45481.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19134.4%Under-27173.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
4William ContrerasC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45718.0%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+15738.9%Under-22068.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12755.9%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26672.7%
5Brice Turang2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45718.0%Under-73088.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-14859.7%Under+11247.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17864.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27226.9%Under-39980.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25571.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11646.3%Under-16061.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+48117.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19434.0%Under-27573.3%
6Garrett MitchellCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+50416.6%Under-82089.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18364.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+19933.4%Under-28373.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11845.9%Under-16362.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+41519.4%Under-65086.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23829.6%Under-34477.5%
7Cooper PrattSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+61014.1%Under-104091.2%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-18665.0%Under+13941.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30424.8%Under-45381.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31575.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+28625.9%Under-42280.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+29725.2%Under-44181.5%
8Sal FrelickRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+63013.7%Under-106091.4%
Total Hits0.5Over-15260.3%Under+11446.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-17964.2%Under+13442.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45081.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23230.1%Under-33577.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13156.7%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+65013.3%Under-112091.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49683.2%
9David Hamilton3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+75011.8%Under-134093.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+32523.5%Under-48883.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+23330.0%Under-33677.1%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+13342.9%Under-18564.9%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29825.1%Under-44281.5%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+38620.6%Under-59385.6%

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