NHL matchup
10/25/20266:00 PMAmerican Airlines CenterDallas, TX

Islanders7 – 4 – 2vsStars7 – 5 – 1

Sharp side
🏠 Stars -185
Model value
Model trendNew York Islanders games: +4.97 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring New York Islanders went 9–4 (69.2%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.97 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
↓ Under 5.5
Model value
Model trendDallas Stars games: +3.84 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Dallas Stars went 9–4 (69.2%) this season, for an estimated profit of 3.84 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
New York Islanders2.135.4%
Dallas Stars3.164.6%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
New York IslandersDBC
Dallas StarsB-A-B+
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of American Airlines Center in Dallas, with anonymous figures and unbranded venue surfaces.Islanders vs. Stars: Dallas’ streak meets a tougher test than the price suggestsDallas has won four straight, but New York’s shooting volume and Ilya Sorokin’s recent form complicate the case for backing a substantial favorite.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+154+1.5 (-166)
DAL-185-1.5 (+140)
Total 5.5Over +110Under -130
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+154+1.5 (-170)
DAL-185-1.5 (+140)
Total 5.5Over +110Under -130
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+165+1.5 (-177)
DAL-200-1.5 (+143)
Total 5.5Over +110Under -137
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+150+1.5 (-170)
DAL-185-1.5 (+142)
Total 5.5Over +113Under -140
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+161+1.5 (-168)
DAL-180-1.5 (+148)
Total 5.5Over +105Under -125
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+150+1.5 (-178)
DAL-182-1.5 (+144)
Total 5.5Over +104Under -128
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+150+1.5 (-185)
DAL-180-1.5 (+140)
Total 5.5Over +105Under -130
Kalshi
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+163—
DAL-170—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
NYI+150+1.5 (-175)
DAL-175-1.5 (+145)
Total 5.5Over +110Under -130
Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Islanders

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/22/26vs LAL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5
10/20/26vs ANAW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5
10/17/26@ TORW 4–1W +1.5U 6.5
10/15/26@ OTTL 1–2W +1.5U 5.5
10/13/26vs VANW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5
10/10/26vs TBL 3–5L +1.5O 5.5
10/8/26vs CHIW 4–1W -1.5U 5.5
10/6/26@ NYRL 2–5L +1.5O 5.5
10/3/26vs NJW 6–0W +1.5O 5.5
9/30/26@ TORL 1–2W +1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Dallas Stars

Overall6–4–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U0–10–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/22/26vs WPGW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5
10/20/26vs BOSW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5
10/17/26@ CHIW 4–0W -1.5U 5.5
10/14/26@ COLW 3–2W +1.5U 5.5
10/13/26vs COLL 2–3L -1.5U 5.5
10/10/26@ PITL 1–2L -1.5U 6.5
10/8/26@ BUFW 4–0W -1.5U 6.5
10/5/26vs SJW 5–0W -1.5U 6.5
10/3/26@ NSHL 1–2L -1.5U 6.5
10/2/26vs STLL 0–4L -1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Islanders and Stars
Statistic
27.4 (27.8)Shots25.5 (25.7)
19.9 (19.9)Hits19.9 (19.7)
14.0 (14.1)Blocked Shots14.9 (14.8)
29.1 (28.8)Faceoffs Won27.8 (28.0)
3.0 (2.9)Power Play Opportunities3.0 (3.0)
4.4 (4.4)Takeaways4.5 (4.6)
14.5 (14.5)Giveaways14.3 (14.3)
3.4 (3.3)Penalties3.8 (3.8)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

IslandersIlya SorokinConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves23.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
StarsJake OettingerConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves21.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
Lineup context

Projected lines

New York Islanders
First line
  • CBo Horvat
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • LWSimon Holmstrom
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • RWKyle Palmieri
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16562.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-15560.8%Under+11546.5%
  • DLogan Stanley
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+28526.0%Under-42581.0%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34077.3%
  • DMatthew Schaefer
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-10551.2%Under-13557.4%
    Total Points0.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
Second line
  • CBrayden Schenn
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+24529.0%Under-35077.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20066.7%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • LWEmil Heineman
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+35022.2%Under-52584.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24571.0%
  • DAdam Pelech
    Player props1 market
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over+11047.6%Under-15560.8%
  • DRyan Pulock
    Player props1 market
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-15560.8%Under+11047.6%
Dallas Stars
First line
  • CRoope Hintz
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Points0.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-19566.1%Under+14041.7%
  • LWJason Robertson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15539.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-17563.6%Under+13043.5%
  • RWTyler Seguin
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31075.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
  • DThomas Harley
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
    Total Blocked Shots2.5Over+12544.4%Under-17563.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
  • DMiro Heiskanen
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
    Total Points0.5Over-17063.0%Under+12544.4%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-18564.9%Under+13542.6%
Second line
  • CWyatt Johnston
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Points0.5Over-17563.6%Under+13043.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%
  • LWJoel Kiviranta
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+50016.7%Under-80088.9%
    Total Points0.5Over+25528.2%Under-36078.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
  • RWMikko Rantanen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points1.5Over+17536.4%Under-24070.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-19566.1%Under+14540.8%
  • DLian Bichsel
  • DNils Lundkvist


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