MLB matchup

10/26/20268:00 PMTropicana FieldSt. Petersburg, FL

Brewers103 – 59vsRays98 – 64

Sharp side

✈️ Brewers +102

Model value

Sharp total

↓ Under 7

Model value

Model trendTampa Bay Rays games: +4.73 units on model total bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model total bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Tampa Bay Rays went 12–6 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.73 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Milwaukee Brewers	3.2	48.5%
Tampa Bay Rays	3.3	51.5%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Lineup	Pitching	Overall
Milwaukee Brewers	A-	B+	A-
Tampa Bay Rays	B+	B+	B+

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.

Can Freddy Peralta slow Milwaukee’s World Series surge?Milwaukee brings a 2-0 World Series lead into Game 3, but Tampa Bay counters with Freddy Peralta. The starting-pitcher matchup puts the Brewers’ momentum and a seven-run total in perspective.Read analysis

Brewers Parlay Picks vs. Rays: Side & Support Parlay PlaysThree supporting props for a Brewers win in World Series Game 3, with Gasser’s innings, Mitchell’s combined production and a Williamson under.Read analysis

Rays Parlay Picks vs. Brewers: Side & Support Parlay PlaysThree props to compare with a Rays win in World Series Game 3: a Peralta earned-run under, a Caminero hit and Frelick staying off the scoreboard.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL+102-1.5 (+172)

TB-114+1.5 (-210)

Total 7.0Over -112Under -107

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-102-1.5 (+170)

TB-118+1.5 (-210)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL+102-1.5 (+170)

TB-121+1.5 (-210)

Total 7.0Over -120Under +102

Caesars

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL+100-1.5 (+174)

TB-120+1.5 (-208)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -108

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL+100-1.5 (+165)

TB-110+1.5 (-190)

Total 7.0Over -110Under -110

Fanatics

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-105-1.5 (+165)

TB-115+1.5 (-205)

Total 7.0Over -115Under -105

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL+102-1.5 (+172)

TB-116+1.5 (-210)

Total 7.5Over +106Under -130

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL+100-1.5 (+170)

TB-120+1.5 (-210)

Total 7.5Over +110Under -135

Kalshi

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL+104—

TB-113—

Total —Over —Under —

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineRun Line

MIL-103-1.5 (+165)

TB-109+1.5 (-200)

Total 7.5Over +115Under -135

Recent form

Last 10 games

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun Line7–3–0W–L–PO/U4–5–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/24/26	vs TB	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/23/26	vs TB	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 6.5
10/15/26	@ LAD	W 6–4	W +1.5	O 8
10/14/26	@ LAD	W 6–2	W +1.5	O 7
10/12/26	vs LAD	W 7–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/11/26	vs LAD	W 2–1	W +1.5	U 6
10/7/26	@ SD	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 7.5
10/6/26	@ SD	L 3–4	W +1.5	U 7.5
10/4/26	vs SD	W 4–3	L -1.5	P 7
10/3/26	vs SD	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 7

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun Line8–2–0W–L–PO/U5–4–1O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Run Line	Total
10/24/26	@ MIL	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/23/26	@ MIL	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/19/26	vs CLE	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 7
10/18/26	@ CLE	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 6
10/17/26	@ CLE	W 7–3	W -1.5	O 6.5
10/15/26	@ CLE	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/13/26	vs CLE	W 3–1	W -1.5	U 6.5
10/12/26	vs CLE	L 3–7	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/7/26	@ NYY	W 4–3	W +1.5	P 7
10/5/26	vs NYY	W 5–2	W +1.5	O 6

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Brewers and Rays
	Statistic
7.2 (8.8)	Hits	7.6 (8.6)
1.3 (1.7)	Doubles	1.2 (1.4)
0.7 (1.0)	Home Runs	0.8 (1.0)
10.8 (13.6)	Total Bases	11.4 (13.3)
3.7 (4.1)	Walks	2.9 (3.1)
8.8 (8.5)	Strikeouts	7.3 (7.1)
0.9 (1.0)	Stolen Bases	0.9 (1.0)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

BrewersRobert GasserConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over+10748.3%Under-14258.7%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%

Total Outs Recorded12.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%

Total Strikeouts3.5Over+11845.9%Under-15160.2%

Total Walks Allowed1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%

RaysFreddy PeraltaConfirmed

Player props5 markets

Earned Runs Allowed1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%

Total Hits Allowed3.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%

Total Outs Recorded14.5Over-16662.4%Under+12544.4%

Total Strikeouts4.5Over-13457.3%Under+10548.8%

Total Walks Allowed2.5Over+14640.7%Under-19566.1%

Starting lineups

Milwaukee BrewersConfirmed

1Jackson ChourioLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+12145.2%Under-16161.7%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40419.8%Under-63086.3%
Total Hits0.5Over-24871.3%Under+18335.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28674.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15160.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10952.2%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+41819.3%Under-65086.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18335.3%Under-25972.1%
2Jake Bauers1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+45418.1%Under-72087.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-14759.5%Under+11047.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16662.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+24329.2%Under-35377.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17964.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+14141.5%Under-19666.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13858.0%
3Christian YelichDH
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42719.0%Under-67087.0%
Total Hits0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12444.6%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12444.6%Under-16562.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26727.2%Under-39179.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16937.2%Under-23970.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+10249.5%Under-14158.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+85010.5%Under-156094.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+16637.6%Under-23470.1%
4William ContrerasC
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+42119.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Hits0.5Over-19866.4%Under+14840.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10249.5%Under-13657.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20233.1%Under-28874.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10751.7%Under-12956.3%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13642.4%Under-18965.4%
5Brice Turang2B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+40919.6%Under-64086.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-16362.0%Under+12245.0%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25528.2%Under-37178.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16238.2%Under-22769.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11346.9%Under-15761.1%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+64013.5%Under-110091.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14241.3%Under-19866.4%
6Garrett MitchellCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12744.1%Under-17063.0%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25827.9%Under-37779.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+17736.1%Under-25071.4%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+11147.4%Under-15460.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+53315.8%Under-87089.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+17436.5%Under-24671.1%
7Cooper PrattSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+54115.6%Under-89089.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-16862.7%Under+12644.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+12644.2%Under-16762.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+26927.1%Under-39479.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18734.8%Under-26572.6%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+42019.2%Under-66086.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+19334.1%Under-27473.3%
8Sal FrelickRF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+49716.8%Under-80088.9%
Total Hits0.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+13542.6%Under-18164.4%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27726.5%Under-40780.3%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21931.3%Under-31475.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10150.2%Under-13757.8%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
9David Hamilton3B
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+66013.2%Under-116092.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11052.4%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11346.9%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33023.3%Under-49683.2%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34877.7%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17363.4%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+32923.3%Under-49483.2%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+30324.8%Under-45081.8%

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed

1Yandy DiazDH
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+34522.5%Under-52383.9%
Total Hits1.5Over+17836.0%Under-24170.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
Total RBIs0.5Over+20432.9%Under-29274.5%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14559.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-15861.2%Under+11446.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20367.0%
2Ryan Vilade1B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+68012.8%Under-120092.3%
Total Hits0.5Over+11446.7%Under-15160.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12255.0%Under-10952.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+33523.0%Under-50483.4%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30875.5%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+19733.7%Under-28173.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22331.0%Under-32276.3%
3Chandler SimpsonLF
Player props9 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+14241.3%Under-18965.4%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+43318.8%Under-68087.2%
Total Hits1.5Over+19434.0%Under-26472.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11152.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+28226.2%Under-41680.6%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20266.9%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-18865.3%Under+13542.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+29925.1%Under-44581.7%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+25328.3%Under-36978.7%
4Junior Caminero3B
Player props8 markets
Total Bases1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+44918.2%Under-71087.7%
Total Hits0.5Over-22969.6%Under+16937.2%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
Total RBIs0.5Over+13941.8%Under-19466.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+10947.8%Under-15060.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-10250.5%Under-13557.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+13143.3%Under-18364.7%
5Ben Williamson2B
Player props7 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+52216.1%Under-85089.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14959.8%
Total RBIs0.5Over+25628.1%Under-37378.9%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-13357.1%Under-10451.0%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21132.2%Under-30275.1%
6Jonny DeLucaCF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+48017.2%Under-77088.5%
Total Hits0.5Over-19666.2%Under+14640.7%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs1.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
Total RBIs0.5Over+23130.2%Under-33477.0%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+16837.3%Under-23670.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over-12154.8%Under-11453.3%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+63013.7%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+22630.7%Under-32576.5%
7Victor Mesa Jr.RF
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+55115.4%Under-91090.1%
Total Hits0.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-16662.4%Under+12444.6%
Total RBIs0.5Over+27027.0%Under-39679.8%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+20033.3%Under-28574.0%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+12843.9%Under-17864.0%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+82010.9%Under-152093.8%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+21631.6%Under-31075.6%
8Nick FortesC
9Taylor WallsSS
Player props8 markets
Total Doubles Hit0.5Over+76011.6%Under-136093.2%
Total Hits0.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
Total Hits + Runs + RBIs0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10751.7%
Total RBIs0.5Over+40219.9%Under-62086.1%
Total Runs Scored0.5Over+22231.1%Under-32076.2%
Total Singles Hit0.5Over+17037.0%Under-24070.6%
Total Stolen Bases0.5Over+62013.9%Under-106091.4%
Total Walks (Batter)0.5Over+18834.7%Under-26772.8%

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