Thunder4 – 1vsRockets5 – 1

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendHouston Rockets games: +1.59 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Houston Rockets went 4–2 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.59 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Oklahoma City Thunder	C	A	B
Houston Rockets	C	A-	B

Sportsbook context

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

OKC+142+4.5 (-110)

HOU-170-4.5 (-110)

Total 218.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/28/26	@ DAL	L 96–120	L -4.5	U 227.5
10/26/26	vs PHX	W 125–114	W -8.5	O 221.5
10/25/26	vs LAC	W 108–101	L -16.5	U 223.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/30/26	@ DAL	L 111–116	L -5.5	O 223.5
10/28/26	@ MIL	W 132–100	W -8.5	O 226.5
10/26/26	vs ATL	W 120–110	W -4.5	O 228.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Thunder and Rockets
	Statistic
37.6 (42.7)	Field Goals Made	39.1 (42.4)

Lineup context

Oklahoma City Thunder

Expected Starters

PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
SGJared McCain
SFAjay Mitchell
PFChet HolmgrenOut
Holmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM EDT
CIsaiah Hartenstein

Houston Rockets

Expected Starters

PGFred VanVleet
SGAmen Thompson
SFKevin Durant
PFJabari Smith Jr.
CAlperen SengunDay-To-Day
Sengun (back) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Mavericks, Mike Curtis of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Updated: Oct 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT

Player availability

Oklahoma City Thunder

GAlex CarusoAnkleOut
Caruso (ankle) is expected to miss time due to an ankle sprain, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 2:06 PM EDT
GCason WallaceShoulderOut
Wallace underwent surgery Friday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:16 PM EDT
CChet HolmgrenKneeOut
Holmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM EDT

Houston Rockets

CSteven AdamsCalfOut
Head coach Ime Udoka said Monday that Adams could be out "a week or two" due to his right soleus strain, Lachard Binkley of SI.com reports.
Updated: Oct 26, 2026 at 6:52 PM EDT
CAlperen SengunBackDay-To-Day
Sengun (back) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Mavericks, Mike Curtis of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Updated: Oct 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT
GReed SheppardBackDay-To-Day
Houston picked up Sheppard's (back) fourth-year team option Friday, per Lachard Binkley of SI.com.
Updated: Oct 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT