NHL matchup
11/03/20267:00 PMBenchmark International ArenaTampa, FL

Red Wings6 – 5 – 3vsLightning8 – 3 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendTampa Bay Lightning games: +1.83 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring Tampa Bay Lightning went 7–5 (58.3%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 1.83 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Detroit Red WingsCB-C+
Tampa Bay LightningA-A-A-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
DET+225+1.5 (-102)
TB-278-1.5 (-118)
Total 6.5Over +110Under -130
Recent form

Last 3 games

Detroit Red Wings

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/31/26vs STLL 4–5L -1.5O 5.5
10/29/26vs CHIW 4–1W -1.5U 5.5
10/26/26@ EDMW 4–3W +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/31/26@ NSHL 4–5L -1.5O 6.5
10/29/26vs WPGW 6–4W -1.5O 5.5
10/24/26@ UTAHL 4–5W +1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Red Wings and Lightning
Statistic
28.6 (28.6)Shots28.5 (28.5)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

Red WingsJohn GibsonExpected
LightningAndrei VasilevskiyExpected
Lineup context

Projected lines

Detroit Red Wings
First line
  • CEmmitt Finnie
  • LWAlex DeBrincat
  • RWViktor Arvidsson
  • DBen Chiarot
  • DMoritz Seider
Tampa Bay Lightning
First line
  • CBrayden Point
  • LWJake Guentzel
  • RWNikita Kucherov
  • DRyan McDonagh
  • DJ.J. Moser

Player availability

Injury report

Detroit Red Wings
  • DAlbert JohanssonUndisclosedOut
  • CDylan LarkinSuspensionInjured Reserve
  • CMarco KasperUpper BodyInjured Reserve
    Head coach Todd McLellan said Friday that Kasper (upper body) is still 10 days to two weeks away from returning to game action, Ansar Khan of MLive.com reports.
    Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 12:10 PM EDT
Tampa Bay Lightning
  • CZemgus GirgensonsLower BodyOut
    Girgensons (lower body) won't play against Detroit on Tuesday, per Lightning reporter Gabby Shirley.
    Updated: Nov 2, 2026 at 12:13 PM EST
  • DErik CernakUndisclosedDay-To-Day
  • CYanni GourdeHipInjured Reserve
    Gourde (hip) was placed on the injured non-roster list Monday.
    Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:18 PM EDT

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