CFB matchup
11/04/20267:00 PMWarren McGuirk Alumni StadiumAmherst, MA

Ball State3 – 5vsMassachusetts4 – 4

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendBall State Cardinals games: +0.91 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Ball State Cardinals went 3–2 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.91 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Ball State CardinalsD-D-D-
Massachusetts MinutemenD-DD-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
BALL+150+4.5 (-110)
MASS-180-4.5 (-110)
Total 48.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Ball State Cardinals

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26vs SACW 34–17W -14.5U 51.5
10/17/26@ BGSUW 32–31W +6O 46.5
10/10/26@ NUL 14–45W +34.5O 53.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Massachusetts Minutemen

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26@ CONNL 16–35L +12.5U 53.5
10/17/26@ BUFL 18–25L +6.5U 43.5
10/10/26vs M-OHL 19–20W +6U 44.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Ball State and Massachusetts
Statistic
333.5 (313.8)Total Yards341.6 (301.3)



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