Cavaliers4 – 3vsThunder5 – 2

Sharp side

Unlock pick

Model value

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendOklahoma City Thunder games: +2.67 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Oklahoma City Thunder are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.67 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Cleveland Cavaliers	A-	B-	B
Oklahoma City Thunder	C	A	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

CLE+117+2.5 (-105)

OKC-138-2.5 (-115)

Total 228.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 3 games

Cleveland Cavaliers

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/2/26	vs OKC	L 112–117	L -4.5	U 229.5
10/31/26	@ MIL	W 136–111	W -8.5	O 234.5
10/29/26	@ ATL	L 111–114	L +1.5	U 237.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/2/26	@ CLE	W 117–112	W +4.5	U 229.5
10/31/26	@ HOU	L 98–119	L +2.5	U 219.5
10/28/26	@ DAL	L 96–120	L -4.5	U 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Cavaliers and Thunder
	Statistic
42.1 (42.5)	Field Goals Made	39.8 (42.6)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Cleveland Cavaliers

Expected Starters

PGJames Harden
SGDonovan Mitchell
SFPeyton WatsonDay-To-Day
Watson (hamstring) is out for Monday's game against the Thunder, Chris Fedor of The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.
Updated: Nov 3, 2026 at 12:29 AM EST
PFEvan Mobley
CJarrett Allen

Oklahoma City Thunder

Expected Starters

PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
SGJared McCain
SFAjay Mitchell
PFKenrich Williams
CIsaiah Hartenstein

Player availability

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

GJaylon TysonAnkleDay-To-Day
Tyson (ankle) has been ruled out for Monday's game against Oklahoma City.
Updated: Nov 3, 2026 at 12:29 AM EST
GPeyton WatsonHamstringDay-To-Day
Watson (hamstring) is out for Monday's game against the Thunder, Chris Fedor of The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.
Updated: Nov 3, 2026 at 12:29 AM EST

Oklahoma City Thunder

GAlex CarusoAnkleOut
Caruso (ankle) is expected to miss time due to an ankle sprain, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 2:06 PM EDT
GCason WallaceShoulderOut
Wallace underwent surgery Friday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:16 PM EDT
CChet HolmgrenKneeOut
Holmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM EDT