NHL matchup

11/05/20267:00 PMBenchmark International ArenaTampa, FL

Blackhawks4 – 11 – 1vsLightning9 – 3 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendChicago Blackhawks games: +6.26 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Chicago Blackhawks went 13–3 (81.3%) this season, for an estimated profit of 6.26 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendChicago Blackhawks games: +2.53 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Chicago Blackhawks went 10–6 (62.5%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.53 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Chicago Blackhawks	D-	D	D-
Tampa Bay Lightning	A-	A-	A-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Benchmark International Arena in Tampa

Blackhawks vs. Lightning preview: Chicago needs an earlier sparkFrank Nazar’s late goals gave Chicago a push in Florida. Tampa Bay’s fast start against Detroit shows why the Blackhawks need that offense earlier.Read analysis

Lightning Parlay Picks vs. Blackhawks: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Brandon Hagel’s points over and Artyom Levshunov’s points under alongside a Tampa Bay win.Read analysis

Blackhawks Parlay Picks vs. Lightning: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Anthony Cirelli’s points under and Nikita Kucherov’s shots under if you’re backing Chicago against Tampa Bay.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

CHI+330+1.5 (+140)

TB-425-1.5 (-166)

Total 6.5Over -108Under -112

Recent form

Last 3 games

Chicago Blackhawks

Overall0–3–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
11/4/26	@ FLA	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 5.5
11/2/26	vs COL	L 2–5	L +1.5	O 6.5
10/31/26	@ BOS	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
11/3/26	vs DET	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 6.5
10/31/26	@ NSH	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 6.5
10/29/26	vs WPG	W 6–4	W -1.5	O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Blackhawks and Lightning
	Statistic
23.6 (24.2)	Shots	28.5 (28.6)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

BlackhawksArvid SoderblomExpected

LightningAndrei VasilevskiyExpected

Lineup context

Projected lines

Chicago Blackhawks

First line

CConnor Bedard
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
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RWTyler Bertuzzi
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37078.7%
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DAlex Vlasic
DIan Cole

Tampa Bay Lightning

First line

CBrayden Point
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
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LWJake Guentzel
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
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RWNikita Kucherov
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-23069.7%Under+16537.7%
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DJ.J. Moser

Player availability

Injury report

Chicago Blackhawks

RWPatrick KaneUpper BodyOut
Head coach Jeff Blashill said after Monday's 5-2 loss to the Avalanche that Kane has an upper-body injury and will miss at least the next couple of games, Ben Pope of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
Updated: Nov 3, 2026 at 12:19 AM EST
DBowen ByramUpper BodyInjured Reserve
Byram (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday.
Updated: Nov 3, 2026 at 12:31 PM EST

Tampa Bay Lightning

CZemgus GirgensonsLower BodyDay-To-Day
CYanni GourdeHipInjured Reserve
Gourde (hip) will miss Thursday's game against Chicago, but he might be available at some point during the upcoming four-game road trip, per Benjamin Pierce of the Lightning's official site.
Updated: Nov 4, 2026 at 12:51 PM EST