NFL matchup
11/09/20268:15 PMU.S. Bank StadiumMinneapolis, MN

Bills6 – 1vsVikings6 – 1

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendMinnesota Vikings games: +0.89 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring Minnesota Vikings went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.89 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Buffalo BillsA+BA-
Minnesota VikingsBA+A-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-175-3.0 (-118)
MIN+145+3.0 (-102)
Total 44.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Buffalo Bills

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/1/26vs BALW 36–10W -3U 54.5
10/18/26@ LVW 33–30L -5.5O 54.5
10/12/26@ LARW 37–34W +3.5O 55.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Vikings

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/1/26@ DETL 15–19L +3.5U 45.5
10/25/26vs INDW 16–10L -6.5U 41.5
10/11/26@ NOW 23–13W -2.5U 41.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Bills and Vikings
Statistic
356.8 (380.8)Total Yards280.1 (268.6)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

Buffalo Bills
  • QBJosh Allen
    Player props1 of 10 markets
    1st Half Total Passing Yards119.5
  • RBJames Cook III
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards4.5
  • RBTy JohnsonQuestionable
    Johnson (illness) did not practice Thursday.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:23 PM EST
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards15.5
  • WRDJ MooreQuestionable
    Moore (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:04 PM EST
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards22.5
  • WRKhalil Shakir
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards16.5
  • WRKeon ColemanQuestionable
    Coleman (shoulder) was limited in practice Thursday.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:21 PM EST
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards12.5
  • TEDalton KincaidQuestionable
    Kincaid (chest) was listed as a limited participant in Thursday's practice,.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:10 PM EST
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards19.5
Minnesota Vikings
  • QBKyler MurrayQuestionable
    Murray likely won't play Monday against the Bills due to a hamstring strain, Alec Lewis of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 1:36 PM EST
  • RBJordan Mason
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Rushing Yards24.5
  • RBAaron Jones Sr.
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    1st Half Total Rushing Yards15.5
  • WRJustin Jefferson
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards38.5
  • WRJordan Addison
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards17.5
  • WRJauan JenningsQuestionable
    Jennings (calf) was limited in Thursday's practice.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 6:36 PM EST
    Player props1 market
    Total Receiving Yards7.5
  • TET.J. Hockenson
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    1st Half Total Receiving Yards17.5

Player availability

Injury report

Buffalo Bills
  • OTAlec AndersonAnkleQuestionable
  • TEDalton KincaidChestQuestionable
    Kincaid (chest) was listed as a limited participant in Thursday's practice,.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:10 PM EST
  • OTDion DawkinsRibsQuestionable
Minnesota Vikings
  • LBAndrew Van GinkelChestQuestionable
    Van Ginkel (chest) was limited in Thursday's practice.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 6:38 PM EST
  • OTChristian DarrisawShoulderQuestionable
    Coach Kevin O'Connell said Tuesday that Darrisaw is nursing a shoulder issue, Alec Lewis of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Nov 3, 2026 at 8:35 PM EST
  • RBDemond ClaiborneKneeQuestionable

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