NBA matchup
11/11/20268:00 PMFedExForumMemphis, TN

Nuggets5 – 4vsGrizzlies7 – 3

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendDenver Nuggets games: +2.73 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Denver Nuggets are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.73 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Denver NuggetsB+C+B
Memphis GrizzliesCD+C-

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN-174-4.5 (-106)
MEM+146+3.5 (-106)
Total 229.5Over -107Under -113
Recent form

Last 3 games

Denver Nuggets

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/9/26@ HOUL 100–110L +4.5U 224.5
11/7/26vs INDW 114–102W -8.5U 229.5
11/4/26vs TORW 128–109W -4.5O 230.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Memphis Grizzlies

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/9/26@ TORW 118–102W -1.5U 225.5
11/6/26vs OKCL 97–128L +4.5O 224.5
11/4/26vs INDL 103–107L -5.5U 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Nuggets and Grizzlies
Statistic
44.3 (42.5)Field Goals Made40.8 (41.7)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Denver Nuggets
Expected Starters
  • PGJamal Murray
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-15861.2%Under+12045.5%
  • SGChristian Braun
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19365.9%
  • SFCameron Johnson
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18564.9%Under+14041.7%
  • PFAaron Gordon
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
  • CNikola Jokic
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
Relevant Bench
  • FDeMar DeRozan
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Assists2.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
  • FSpencer Jones
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-14459.0%Under+11047.6%
Memphis Grizzlies
Expected Starters
  • PGTy Jerome
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-12755.9%Under-10350.7%
  • SGCedric Coward
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10249.5%
  • SFJaylen Wells
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10548.8%
  • PFCameron Boozer
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15460.6%Under+11746.1%
  • CZach Edey
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points9.5Over-10551.2%Under-12154.8%
Relevant Bench
  • GCam Spencer
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14441.0%Under-19265.8%
  • FJerami Grant
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%

Player availability

Injury report

Denver Nuggets
  • GJulian StrawtherKneeOut
    Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.
    Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 8:52 PM EDT
Memphis Grizzlies
  • CQuinten PostHeadOut
    Post (concussion) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Nuggets.
    Updated: Nov 10, 2026 at 6:09 PM EST
  • GRichie SaundersKneeOut
    Saunders signed a two-way contract with the Grizzlies on Saturday, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
    Updated: Nov 7, 2026 at 12:24 PM EST
  • GScotty Pippen Jr.BackOut
    Pippen (back) remains out for Wednesday's game against Denver, Michael Wallace of the Grizzlies' official site reports.
    Updated: Nov 10, 2026 at 6:09 PM EST

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