Matvei Gridin’s winner in Los Angeles came off a pass from Martin Pospisil at the top of the crease. Calgary now heads to Honda Center, where it beat Anaheim in October, to close out the season series.
If you see another Flames win, start with how Calgary can get Gridin a couple of looks. At the other end, compare Leo Carlsson’s own shot volume with how busy Devin Cooley could be if he gets the start.
Player props for a Flames win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Gridin 2+ shots on goal |
−205 | 88.9% 8 of 9 CGY wins |
70.0% 14 of 20 games |
| Leo Carlsson Under 2.5 shots on goal |
−145 | 90.0% 9 of 10 ANA losses |
85.0% 17 of 20 games |
| Devin Cooley 26+ saves |
−150 | 100.0% 5 of 5 starts in CGY wins |
55.6% 5 of 9 starts |
Matvei Gridin 2+ shots on goal
Gridin is projected with Pospisil and Ryan Strome again. Pospisil’s work on the puck helped set up Gridin’s third-period one-timer against the Kings. Gridin finished with two shots and also played over three minutes on the power play, giving him another way to get a shot off if his line is quiet at even strength.
Five Calgary wins landed on exactly two shots for Gridin, including Saturday. The cheaper three-shot line would have missed all five. Even two can be a close call. He got just one on net in the 2–1 win at San Jose, so look for chances where he can get the puck off quickly before Anaheim closes the lane.
Leo Carlsson under 2.5 shots on goal
Carlsson stayed below three shots in each of the first three Calgary meetings. He also had just one shot against the Islanders on Saturday while picking up an assist on Cutter Gauthier’s goal. With Gauthier projected beside him, Calgary can hold Carlsson below this line even if his passes are creating chances for the Ducks.
There’s room for the opposite outcome if the Flames give him time in the slot or keep putting him on the power play. Carlsson put five on net in the 7–6 loss to Buffalo, the one Anaheim loss this season where he went over.
Devin Cooley 26+ saves
After Dustin Wolf played Saturday, Cooley is expected to start. He reached 26 saves in all five of his winning starts this season, and the Toronto start shows how narrow the margin can be. He stopped exactly 26 in the 5–2 win over Toronto and 32 in the overtime win over Philadelphia.
The line needs Anaheim to get pucks through even if Calgary plays well enough to win. Cooley finished with 21 saves against the Rangers in his most recent start. If you picture Calgary keeping the Ducks to the perimeter and blocking a lot of attempts, there may be too little work for Cooley.
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What to watch at Honda Center
Gridin’s line fits a Calgary win built on quick chances for his unit. Carlsson’s under fits a game where the Ducks’ chances fall to other shooters. If those shots are still getting through and Cooley gets the start, his saves offer a way to follow the pressure Calgary has to withstand.
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