Philadelphia erased a two-goal deficit in a 4–3 win at Columbus on Saturday. Now the Flyers get another crack at the Oilers, who beat them in overtime in Edmonton on Wednesday.
If you see Philadelphia taking the rematch, compare two ways its scoring could unfold. Matvei Michkov can get on the scoresheet as a shooter or a passer. Trevor Zegras can contribute without setting up a goal, as he did in Columbus.
Player props for a Flyers win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov Over 0.5 points |
−115 | 100.0% 6 of 6 PHI wins |
59.1% 13 of 22 games |
| Trevor Zegras Under 0.5 assists |
−185 | 83.3% 5 of 6 PHI wins |
68.2% 15 of 22 games |
Matvei Michkov over 0.5 points
Michkov tied the Columbus game when he took the puck away and scored on the breakaway. He found a different route against Edmonton on Wednesday, picking up the second assist on Travis Sanheim’s tying goal without putting a shot on net himself. If Edmonton closes his shooting lane, watch for a Flyers defenseman joining the play from the point. Michkov nearly set up Jamie Drysdale on that kind of play in the first period.
Michkov finished with exactly one point in four of the six Flyers wins. He also went scoreless nine times in 22 games. The line gives him two ways to get there, but the broader record shows how often a chance still needs to turn into a goal.
Trevor Zegras under 0.5 assists
Zegras scored Philadelphia’s first goal at Columbus and finished without an assist. Five of the six Flyers wins have gone that way on the assist line. If Zegras is the one finishing chances on his line, he can help Philadelphia win while this under holds.
The exception matters here. When Philadelphia beat Colorado in October, Zegras recorded three assists, including on both Michkov goals. Foerster and Konecny were out that night, but the first of those goals came on the power play. An early chance to work the puck across the zone with Michkov on the ice would make the under less appealing, especially at the shorter price.
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Which prop fits your view of the game?
Michkov’s point line fits a Flyers win built on chances from his line or his work with the defensemen. The Zegras under fits a game where Philadelphia’s goals come from other lines or off his own stick. If you expect Zegras to set up Michkov on the power play, that same play could cash the point over and lose the assist under.
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