The Grizzlies can make life harder for Brooklyn before they even get out in transition. If Memphis keeps the Nets to one shot, Cedric Coward can help finish those stops from the wing.
If you like Memphis to win, there are two ways to play that read. Coward’s rebounds give you a way to back the Grizzlies on the glass. Michael Porter Jr.’s assists under fits if you expect Brooklyn to use him mainly as a shooter.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Coward 7+ rebounds |
−159 | 85.7% 6 of 7 Memphis wins |
90.9% 10 of 11 Memphis games |
| Michael Porter Jr. Under 2.5 assists |
−178 | 100.0% 8 of 8 Brooklyn losses |
81.8% 9 of 11 Brooklyn games |
Cedric Coward to record seven or more rebounds
Coward got to seven in Friday’s start against New Orleans while Zach Edey sat. He pulled down six at Toronto with Edey in the lineup, so Memphis’s frontcourt rotation is worth checking. Coward can do it in fewer minutes, too. He had nine in 23 minutes against Oklahoma City, a game Memphis lost.
Four of Coward’s six hits in Memphis wins this season landed right on seven. The eight-rebound alternate pays plus money, but it would have hit in only two of those seven wins. He’s reached seven a little more often overall than in wins. Last season he got there in eight of 20 Memphis wins, so the case rests on his work this season. The case is his work on the glass, especially if Memphis’s bigs are occupied keeping Brooklyn’s frontcourt off the boards.
Michael Porter Jr. under 2.5 assists
Porter took 11 threes and had no assists in Brooklyn’s loss at Dallas. That’s the version that fits this under. He can shoot as soon as the ball reaches him while Randle or a guard does the work of getting it there.
Porter still attempted 10 threes on Wednesday and finished with three assists, so a high shot count alone won’t carry the under. Egor Demin returned in that game and Nolan Traore was listed as probable for Saturday. I’d look at how those guards split the creation duties. If the Grizzlies chase Porter off the line and leave an easy pass to a cutter, he can get to three without taking a bigger role.
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Which prop fits a Memphis win?
Coward’s seven fits if you expect him to help finish possessions on the defensive glass. Porter’s under makes more sense if you expect Brooklyn to use him primarily as a shooter. Wednesday showed how little extra playmaking it takes to beat that line.
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