Matthew Schaefer’s shot from the point helped decide the first Islanders–Ducks game when Simon Holmstrom tipped it in. If you’re backing New York again, Schaefer’s assist prop fits a game where the Islanders get traffic in front and give him a stick to shoot for.
Anaheim managed 17 shots in that October loss. Jackson LaCombe’s shots under gives you another angle on a New York win if you expect the Islanders to get in shooting lanes and keep one of Anaheim’s busiest defensemen from putting much on net.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 assists |
−110 | 87.5% 7 of 8 Islanders wins |
55.6% 10 of 18 Islanders games |
| Jackson LaCombe Under 1.5 shots on goal |
−150 | 88.9% 8 of 9 Ducks losses |
78.9% 15 of 19 Ducks games |
Matthew Schaefer to record an assist
In the first meeting with Anaheim, Schaefer picked up the assist when Holmstrom redirected his power-play shot. The same kind of play can go either way on the scoresheet. Schaefer’s shot through traffic against the Kings on Thursday went in for a goal, and he finished that win without an assist.
He’s had an assist in seven of eight Islanders wins this season, compared with 18 of 43 last season. The current split is a reason to look at the line if you expect New York to spend time in Anaheim’s zone and put sticks in front of Schaefer’s shots.
Jackson LaCombe under 1.5 shots on goal
LaCombe had an assist without putting a shot on net in the first meeting. He also set up two power-play goals in Anaheim’s win over Pittsburgh and finished with one shot. The under can hold even if he sees plenty of the puck, especially if he’s moving it to Cutter Gauthier and the other shooters.
The line leaves little room for a second shot. LaCombe put two on goal in Wednesday’s loss to Nashville while playing nearly 30 minutes. If the Islanders spend too much time defending, he can reach two from the point even if Anaheim comes up short.
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Which prop fits an Islanders win?
Schaefer fits if you expect the Islanders to create chances by getting bodies in front of Anaheim’s net. I’d lean toward LaCombe’s under if your read is that New York can keep the game tight and force Anaheim to move the puck away from the point.
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