In New York’s last win, Andre Drummond grabbed 14 rebounds in less than 16 minutes and Landry Shamet added two threes. The Knicks have dropped two straight since, so how much they get from those minutes matters in Toronto.
If you see New York winning, look at what Drummond can do on the glass and whether the offense gets Shamet open outside. RJ Barrett’s combined line gives you a way to follow how well the Knicks contain one of Toronto’s main scorers.
Player props for a Knicks win
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond Over 6.5 rebounds |
−113 | 100.0% 6 of 6 NYK wins |
58.3% 7 of 12 games |
| Landry Shamet Over 1.5 made threes |
−131 | 83.3% 5 of 6 NYK wins |
66.7% 8 of 12 games |
| RJ Barrett Under 31.5 points + rebounds + assists |
−124 | 83.3% 25 of 30 TOR losses |
68.1% 47 of 69 games |
Andre Drummond over 6.5 rebounds
Five of Drummond’s 14 rebounds against Milwaukee came on the offensive end. That gives him another route to seven when he spells Karl-Anthony Towns. Watch how often he can get under the rim for a second chance while Toronto’s defenders rotate to the ball.
Drummond has grabbed at least eight in all six Knicks wins, with seven covers in 12 games overall. All six winning covers came in stints of 16 minutes or less. He had eight rebounds in 14 minutes in the Cleveland win and four in about the same time in the loss. A similar shift can produce a very different total when fewer misses come his way.
Landry Shamet over 1.5 made threes
Shamet hit four of six threes off the bench against Brooklyn. If Toronto sends help toward Jalen Brunson or Towns, the extra pass to Shamet can give New York a way to score before the defense gets back out to him.
He’s made two or more in five of six wins and eight of 12 games overall. That includes all three wins he played off the bench. His 1-for-5 night in Indiana came in 21 minutes off the bench, so even a handful of attempts can leave him short.
RJ Barrett under 31.5 points + rebounds + assists
Barrett took 21 shots against Memphis but finished with 19 points, three rebounds and two assists. If the Knicks keep him out of the paint and finish possessions with rebounds of their own, he can get plenty of touches without reaching 32 across the three categories.
The under hit in five of seven Toronto losses this season. The stronger split in the table leans on last season, and Kawhi Leonard is out and Scottie Barnes is questionable. Barrett had 31 points, 14 rebounds and five assists against Philadelphia with both out. The extra work he can take on makes this line sensitive to Toronto’s lineup.
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Where do you see New York pulling ahead?
Drummond’s rebounds fit if you expect the Knicks to gain possessions even with Towns off the floor. Shamet’s threes fit if you see New York getting its shooters involved when Toronto helps inside. Barrett’s under depends on the Knicks containing more than his scoring.
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