Jaime Jaquez Jr. scored 19 against Houston and 21 against Philadelphia, and Milwaukee lost both games. If you’re backing the Lakers in Milwaukee, there’s room in that view for a Bucks starter to get his points.
For these Lakers parlay picks, a Los Angeles win points us to two sets of games: Bucks losses for Jaquez’s points and Brayden Burries’s threes, and Lakers wins for Ziaire Williams’s scoring.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Burries Under 1.5 made threes This season with Milwaukee |
−132 | 90.0% 9 of 10 Bucks losses |
90.9% 10 of 11 appearances |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 13.5 points This season with Milwaukee |
+100 | 80.0% 8 of 10 Bucks losses |
72.7% 8 of 11 appearances |
| Ziaire Williams Over 8.5 points This season with Los Angeles |
−111 | 87.5% 7 of 8 Lakers wins |
88.9% 8 of 9 appearances |
Brayden Burries under 1.5 made threes
Burries made at most one three in all five of his recent starts, each a Milwaukee loss. He scored 21 points in 38 minutes against Toronto and made only one three, so the under at −132 can still work on a night when he scores or plays heavy minutes.
He made two off the bench against Washington, his one miss in ten losses. The under has landed about as often across all his Milwaukee appearances. The useful part of the split is seeing that his recent move into the starting lineup hasn’t pushed him past the line so far.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. over 13.5 points
Jaquez scored at least 14 in eight Milwaukee losses, including 16 in 25 minutes against the Knicks. At +100, this is a way to account for a Bucks starter contributing even if Los Angeles takes the game.
He got just over the line with 14 against Toronto and finished with four against Boston in another recent loss. He also scored just eight against Cleveland, so a Milwaukee loss by itself tells you little about which kind of scoring night he’ll have.
Ziaire Williams over 8.5 points
Williams scored 12 as a starter in the win over Atlanta and nine off the bench in 15 minutes against Miami. He also had eight off the bench against Portland. At −111, the line has been reachable in either role, but he’s already finished one point apart on either side of the line in Lakers wins.
The all-game record is nearly identical to his win split, and both cover fewer than ten appearances. Give the expected minutes more weight than the historical percentage if his role changes before tip.
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Which prop fits a Lakers win?
If you want to stay with a Lakers scorer, Williams’s minutes are the thing to watch. On Milwaukee’s side, Jaquez at even money is a way to account for Bucks scoring in a loss. Burries’s under is a narrower call about where his points come from. Both Milwaukee props depend on the same game, and the prices shown are for each one individually.
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