Utah’s first meeting with Pittsburgh ended in a 5–4 Mammoth win, with Nick Schmaltz contributing a goal and an assist. Dylan Guenther had no point but still put two shots on goal. That difference gives Utah backers a useful choice for the rematch: a scoring contribution or shooting activity that doesn’t need to produce a goal.
These Mammoth parlay picks begin with your view that Utah wins, then compare Schmaltz to record a point with Guenther for two or more shots. Schmaltz has the stronger historical connection to a Utah victory and the larger return at the listed prices. Guenther’s longer-term record looks much the same across all results, but he has reached two shots in all eight Utah wins this season.
Mammoth parlay picks: compare the supporting options
The records below cover each player’s Utah appearances from the 2025–26 season through the latest completed game, including the playoffs. The current-season checks in the player sections show where that longer history still fits—and where it needs care. These are individual DraftKings price snapshots; prices can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Schmaltz 1+ point (goal or assist) |
−185 | 84.9% 45 of 53 Utah wins |
57.4% 58 of 101 Utah appearances |
| Dylan Guenther 2+ shots on goal |
−525 | 82.7% 43 of 52 Utah wins |
82.7% 81 of 98 Utah appearances |
Nick Schmaltz — 1+ point (−185)
Schmaltz gives you two ways to reach the same mark: score a goal or assist on one. His 84.9% record in Utah wins stands well above the 57.4% all-game rate over the same 101 appearances. That’s the clearest result-related distinction in this pair. Utah winning has often come with a Schmaltz contribution; it hasn’t required him to be the goalscorer.
The current season supplies a useful check on that longer sample. Schmaltz has a point in seven of eight Utah wins and nine of 13 games overall. He had a goal and an assist in the earlier 5–4 win over Pittsburgh on October 19, then assisted on Utah’s lone goal in Tuesday’s 3–1 loss to Minnesota. He played 18:27 in that latest appearance and remains listed as the expected first-line center.
There is a recent win that didn’t follow the pattern. Schmaltz had no point and no shot in 14:58 when Utah beat Tampa Bay 5–4 in overtime on October 24. He also went pointless in the preceding loss to Seattle. That leaves two pointless games among his latest three appearances, so the seven-of-eight win record deserves more weight as a comparison than as a promise of an uninterrupted run. Eight Utah wins in the full sample came without a Schmaltz point.
The actual assist-only offer was over 0.5 assists at +120, but he recorded an assist in just 32 of those 53 Utah wins. The larger payout comes with a materially narrower scoring route. At −185, the point option buys the ability to get there with either a goal or an assist; that’s the distinction to preserve when comparing the available markets.
Dylan Guenther — 2+ shots on goal (−525)
Guenther is the activity choice. He reached two shots in 43 of 52 Utah wins, or 82.7%, compared with 81 of 98 Utah appearances, also 82.7%. Those rates are effectively the same. A Utah win hasn’t made this mark substantially more frequent in the longer sample; Guenther has simply continued to reach it in many of those wins.
His current shooting gives the option a stronger recent footing: two or more shots in 12 of 13 games and all eight Utah wins this season. His latest three shot totals were two, three and four, with ice times of 20:10, 19:15 and 20:46. He produced no point in two of those games, including Tuesday’s Minnesota loss. That is the practical appeal of the shot route: a quiet scoresheet doesn’t necessarily mean a quiet night putting pucks on net.
The earlier Pittsburgh matchup made the distinction especially clear. Guenther finished Utah’s 5–4 win with two shots and no point. Two was enough for this actual 2+ milestone; it would not have been enough for the offered over-2.5 line. He is listed on the expected second line, and his recent ice time supports treating him as a regular offensive participant.
The price is the main tradeoff. DraftKings listed 2+ shots at −525, while 3+ shots was −170. Moving to three has a much larger return but changes the historical record to 32 of 52 Utah wins and 62 of 98 appearances; he reached three in only six of 13 games this season. The cheaper-looking price is buying a different requirement. The two-shot choice still missed in nine Utah wins in the longer sample, so its shorter return needs to suit what you’re trying to build.
Choose scoring involvement or shooting activity
Schmaltz is the more direct way to express a Utah scoring contribution, with a substantial gap between his win and all-game records. Guenther offers a different requirement: two shots without needing a point, backed by his current workload and recent shot totals. The −525 price makes him the more expensive addition, and the longer history gives no reason to describe that route as boosted by a Utah win.
You can use either comparison on its own or evaluate the exact combination you want at the sportsbook. Both players share Utah’s offense, and their separate historical records don’t establish independence or a combined success probability. Compare the actual same-game quote before deciding whether another selection adds enough.
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