P.J. Washington pulled down 13 rebounds the last time Dallas beat Indiana. He grabbed just five in the win over Brooklyn. If you’re backing Dallas in the rematch, the Brooklyn game shows what an extra rebound can cost you at the higher line.
Start with a Dallas win and compare Washington’s rebounds in Mavericks wins with Andrew Nembhard’s scoring in Pacers losses. For each player, the all-game record covers the same team and stretch as the wins or losses shown.
Two Mavericks parlay picks to compare
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington 5+ rebounds 2025–26 and 2026–27 regular seasons |
−498 | 86.4% 19 of 22 DAL wins |
83.3% 55 of 66 appearances |
| Andrew Nembhard Over 15.5 points 2026–27 regular season |
−118 | 80.0% 4 of 5 IND losses |
75.0% 6 of 8 appearances |
P.J. Washington: 5+ rebounds
Washington cleared five in all six Dallas wins he played this season. DraftKings priced five at −498 and six at −249. The lower line would have caught two additional wins across the two-season sample, including Brooklyn this year. He finished with four against Houston and San Antonio in losses this season, and his longer all-game rate is close to his rate in wins.
Andrew Nembhard: Over 15.5 points
Nembhard scored 16 in the earlier loss to Dallas and reached the line in three other Indiana losses this season. Denver was the exception, holding him to nine. Across both seasons, the over would have hit in only 26 of 49 losses. With Tyrese Haliburton listed out, this is a look at Nembhard’s recent scoring role, with just five losses behind it.
Sharpest Bets Premium
Get our Pacers vs. Mavericks picks.
Unlock our model's best bets for this matchup, plus projections, trends, and matchup analysis. Start with a free 7-day trial, then save 20% every month with code PARLAY20.
What to weigh with a Dallas win
If you’re looking at Washington, five covers a night like Brooklyn, but you’re paying quite a bit for that extra board of room. Nembhard’s line pays more at the listed prices if you expect him to keep scoring in Haliburton’s absence. There are only five losses to judge that recent stretch by. Follow the live Pacers at Mavericks matchup and our NBA coverage.
More picks to build around
Unlock our Premium picks. Free.
Get our sharpest picks, team grades, and projected score in your inbox.