Jamal Murray’s 39 points and five assists helped Denver beat Phoenix 127–120 in its latest game. For someone backing the Nuggets against Portland, his lower combined target offers room for a quieter scoring night: 23 points and six assists were enough in Denver’s preceding win over New Orleans.
Denver hosts Portland at Ball Arena on Monday, November 2, with tipoff at 9 p.m. Eastern. DraftKings quoted the Nuggets at −174. Alongside that hypothetical Denver win, these Nuggets parlay picks offer Murray’s points and assists or Scoot Henderson staying below four assists for Portland.
Each comparison covers the player’s current-club appearances in the previous and current seasons, including playoffs. Denver wins supply the conditional record for Murray; Portland losses supply Henderson’s. The all-game columns use the same dates and participation scope, and the recent results help show what those longer records can miss.
Nuggets parlay picks: two ways to support Denver
The prices below are individual DraftKings offers and can change. Choose the contribution that fits your view of the game; these are alternatives to compare alongside your Denver premise.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray 25+ points + assists 2025–26 and 2026–27 Denver appearances |
−270 | 84.9% (45/53) Denver wins |
79.1% (68/86) |
| Scoot Henderson Under 3.5 assists 2025–26 and 2026–27 Portland appearances |
−166 | 88.2% (15/17) Portland losses |
65.9% (27/41) |
Jamal Murray: 25+ points and assists (−270)
Murray has reached 25 combined points and assists in each of Denver’s three wins this season. Those totals were 48, 29 and 44. The 29 against New Orleans is the clearest example of what this target asks: 23 points and six assists, with passing making up the difference.
DraftKings offered a higher target of 29 combined at −118. It has also hit in all three current-season wins, but the longer record separates the choices. Moving from 25 to 29 drops his winning-game hits from 45 to 38, and his all-game hits from 68 to 55 across the same 86 Denver appearances.
The lower target also caught his 27 combined in the recent loss to Golden State. It isn’t tied exclusively to Denver winning. His only miss this season came against Oklahoma City: six points and three assists in 37 minutes. Plenty of court time couldn’t rescue that quiet offensive night.
His latest miss in a Denver win came against Philadelphia on March 17, 2026, when 12 points and four assists added up to 16 in 26 minutes. The Nuggets still won 124–96. The −270 price buys a lower requirement, not protection against a game in which Denver wins comfortably without needing much from Murray.
Scoot Henderson: under 3.5 assists (−166)
A Portland player can contribute to a Denver-win scenario through an under. Henderson has finished with three or fewer assists in 15 of his 17 Portland losses across the previous and current seasons. His all-game record is notably lower, at 27 of 41 appearances.
His latest outing helps explain the current appeal without requiring a bench role. Henderson played 31 minutes against Utah and recorded one assist. He’s in Portland’s projected starting lineup again, so this is a bet on limited assist production rather than an assumption that he won’t get much court time.
He has stayed under four assists in all five appearances this season: one, two, three, zero and one. Only one of those games was a Portland loss—the Memphis game in which he had no assists in 19 minutes. The recent run therefore supports the individual under across both results; it doesn’t yet establish much about this season’s loss-specific pattern.
The older losses have a useful warning. Henderson recorded four assists in 23 minutes when Portland lost 109–93 to Charlotte on February 28, 2026, just enough to beat this line. A shorter outing can still produce four assists. At −166, this offers a less expensive individual route than either Denver combined target, with the risk resting on Henderson’s passing production rather than a large scoring requirement.
Decide where you expect the production
Murray’s current winning games have supported the lower combined target, while his quiet Oklahoma City game shows how it can miss. Henderson’s under has held up in all five recent appearances at a lighter price, although only one was a Portland loss. Choose between Denver production and a limit on Portland’s passing according to the game you expect.
The separate records do not establish the chance of a Denver moneyline and either supporting bet landing together. Follow the live Nuggets–Trail Blazers matchup for the latest game context, or browse our NBA articles for more analysis.
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