Connor McDavid didn’t need to score in Edmonton’s 4–0 win over Calgary. Two assists put him on the scoresheet, even with less than 19 minutes of ice time. That’s the flexibility you buy with his one-point line.
These Oilers parlay picks start with a hypothetical Edmonton win and offer three supporting options: a McDavid point, two Bo Horvat shots even if the Islanders lose, or Simon Holmstrom finishing without an assist. The prices and requirements are quite different.
Oilers parlay picks: three supporting options
The records cover completed current-team games from October 1, 2025 through October 30, 2026, including the postseason. McDavid is measured in Oilers wins; Horvat and Holmstrom in Islanders losses. The all-game records use the same club, dates and participation rules. These are historical hit rates, not today’s probabilities. Individual DraftKings prices can change.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All current-team games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid 1+ point |
−475 | 98.1% 51 of 52 Oilers wins |
83.2% 84 of 101 appearances |
| Bo Horvat 2+ shots on goal |
−450 | 89.5% 34 of 38 Islanders losses |
86.4% 70 of 81 appearances |
| Simon Holmstrom Under 0.5 assists |
−195 | 84.1% 37 of 44 Islanders losses |
76.1% 70 of 92 appearances |
Connor McDavid: 1+ point at −475
McDavid has a point in all 13 appearances this season, including Edmonton’s nine wins. He also has an assist in all 13, so his early record doesn’t distinguish those two targets. The longer winning-game history does.
One assist was −225, a larger payout than the one-point line. A point cleared in seven more Oilers wins because McDavid scored without an assist in those games. In the March 31 win over Seattle, he had one goal and no assists in 19:46. That’s a night the broader point target covers and the assist-only bet misses.
The difference matters in the other direction too: the two assists against Calgary cleared without a goal. You’re paying −475 for either route to the scoresheet, rather than needing one particular kind of contribution.
Two points was available at −105, but it cleared in only 40 of the 52 Oilers wins in this window. His recent Detroit game illustrates the extra demand: one assist in 26:27, including 5:01 on the power play. Edmonton lost that game, but it still shows how a busy night can end at exactly one point.
There was one Edmonton win where even the lower target failed. McDavid had no points in an April playoff win over Anaheim, despite three shots and 24:50 of ice time. The Islanders also held him without a point in a January 1–0 Edmonton loss while he put five shots on goal. The low line leaves room for different contributions; it doesn’t remove the possibility of a blank.
Bo Horvat: 2+ shots on goal at −450
Horvat has reached two shots in all 13 appearances this season, including all six Islanders losses. That fits an Edmonton-win view without requiring New York’s leading line to stop generating chances. Shots can accumulate even when the result goes against him.
Three shots was −155, compared with −450 for two. That bigger payout comes with a meaningful extra requirement: the three-shot target cleared in 24 of the 38 losses, ten fewer than two shots. Those ten games ended at exactly two.
The recent Dallas loss is one of them. Horvat recorded two shots and two assists in 19:18, with 3:18 on the power play. He remained involved offensively, but one more shot would still have been needed for the higher line. He also finished at two in the Nashville win despite playing 26:04.
His current average is about 21 minutes, close to his older Islanders workload, and he’s expected to center Holmstrom and Kyle Palmieri. That provides a reasonable role basis for considering the low shooting target. It doesn’t guarantee the shots: an April loss to Carolina ended with just one in 20:43.
At −450, the smaller payout is the tradeoff for keeping those two-shot nights. Choose it if that cushion matters more to your game view than the return available at three.
Simon Holmstrom: under 0.5 assists at −195
This under needs Holmstrom to finish without an assist. He can still score a goal and the bet can clear. His under 0.5 points at −105 would also require him not to score, making it a different restriction for a larger payout.
That distinction covered five more Islanders losses in this history. In a March loss to Chicago, Holmstrom scored once without an assist in 14:56. The assist under would have cleared; the points under would have lost. You don’t need all his offensive contribution to disappear for this option to work.
He has no assists in New York’s six losses this season, but his latest two games both produced one. The Nashville win included 25:02 of ice time and six minutes on the power play; the Minnesota win brought another assist in 20:18. Those recent games matter when weighing an under, even though they were wins.
Holmstrom is expected on the top line with Horvat and Palmieri. His average ice time has risen to about 18 minutes this season from roughly 17 in the older sample, with Mathew Barzal and Matias Maccelli on injured reserve. There’s real opportunity to be involved in that line’s scoring, so don’t treat the losing-game record as a promise of a quiet role.
Nor does an Islanders loss settle the assist under. In the April Carolina loss, Holmstrom recorded an assist in 15:58 with only 46 seconds of power-play time. At −195, you’re choosing a limit on his passing contribution while allowing a goal of his own—not backing him to do nothing.
Choose the kind of room you want
McDavid’s point line accepts a goal or an assist. Horvat’s lower shot target keeps the two-shot nights, and Holmstrom’s assist under leaves room for him to score. You can compare these as separate supporting choices; their historical records don’t establish a combined probability.
Check current offers on the Oilers–Islanders matchup page, or explore more of our NHL coverage.
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