Dallas put up 130 against Brooklyn on Sunday, and the game still went under. Indiana has scored 107 or fewer in four straight games, which makes the Pacers’ offense the part to watch in Monday’s rematch. Dallas already showed it can score against Indiana. How often the Pacers answer will help determine whether that scoring turns into a close game or a comfortable lead.
Flagg kept the whole offense moving
Cooper Flagg had 25 points and a career-high 12 assists in Dallas’s 130–93 win over Brooklyn. Kyrie Irving added 21 and Daniel Gafford had 18. The Mavericks shot a season-best 57.1%. If Indiana sends help at Flagg, his ability to keep teammates involved gives Dallas a way to score even on a less efficient night.
Dallas won the first meeting 121–105 on the road and has covered seven of ten games this season. DraftKings had Dallas favored by 3.5 early Monday. Indiana has covered five of ten despite winning only three outright. The four-point loss to Atlanta and four-point win at Memphis show how tight some of those games have been.
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Indiana needs to cut the dry spells
Denver scored 15 unanswered while Indiana went four minutes without a point in the second quarter of the Pacers’ 114–102 loss in Mexico City. Pascal Siakam scored 23 and Indiana got back within seven in the fourth. Dallas grades D+ on defense in our ratings, so there’s room for the Pacers to keep more possessions productive against this opponent. Guard T.J. McConnell is questionable with a right hamstring strain.
What the first meeting says about 223.5
Each team’s last four games went under its posted total, and all eight finished below Monday’s 223.5. Their first meeting landed at 226, well under its own line of 241.5. The two Dallas wins show how much the other offense matters. Indiana’s 105 helped the first meeting finish higher than Sunday’s game, even though the Mavericks scored nine fewer points. If the Pacers can keep answering Dallas’s runs, they can put pressure on both the margin and the total.
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