Pascal Siakam got to 33 points and assists in Indiana’s win over Washington. He finished with 22 in the win over Memphis. If you’re building your Pacers parlay picks around an Indiana win, those two games show why the result can only tell you so much about his prop.
To see how often Siakam got to 26, look at his numbers in Pacers wins. For the Knicks, look at what happened in their losses: did Jalen Brunson stay below seven assists, and did Landry Shamet stay below nine points?
Three props to compare for an Indiana win
Siakam’s Indiana numbers go back to last season. Brunson and Shamet use this season’s Knicks games, so their loss samples are only five appearances each.
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam Over 25.5 points + assists |
−123 | 81.0% 17 of 21 Pacers wins |
69.9% 51 of 73 appearances |
| Jalen Brunson Under 6.5 assists |
−143 | 100.0% 5 of 5 Knicks losses |
72.7% 8 of 11 appearances |
| Landry Shamet Under 8.5 points |
+102 | 80.0% 4 of 5 Knicks losses |
45.5% 5 of 11 appearances |
Pascal Siakam over 25.5 points and assists
The combined line gives Siakam another way to get there if his scoring comes up a little short. He scored 21 against Brooklyn and got over the line with six assists. He scored 30 against Orlando, enough to clear it on points alone. He’s cleared this line in three of Indiana’s four wins this season, with Memphis the exception.
Jalen Brunson under 6.5 assists
Brunson can score plenty and still stay under this line. In the latest loss to Cleveland, he scored 27 and handed out five assists. Six assists against Philadelphia left no room to spare, and he had nine in a separate win over Cleveland. You get a smaller payout than on Shamet’s under, even though Brunson’s record in those five losses was better.
Landry Shamet under 8.5 points
Shamet pays more at +102, but the same Cleveland loss tells you what can go wrong: he scored 12 in 29 minutes while Brunson stayed under his assist line. Shamet stayed under in the other four losses, though his eight points at Boston were right on the edge. If you expect him to play close to 30 minutes again, that bigger payout may be less tempting.
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Which option fits your read?
If your read starts with Siakam doing the scoring or setting up his teammates, his combined line gives you both routes. On the Knicks side, choose the under that fits your read of Brunson’s passing or Shamet’s minutes. As Cleveland showed, those two unders can go different ways even when New York loses.
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